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县域经济高质量发展的差异化路径:基于经济—人口—资源环境三维分类框架

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基于经济—人口—资源环境三维分类框架,本文将全国县域分为领先型、潜力型、基础型三类.其中,领先型县市187 个,未来发展主要受限于空间范围狭小、行政等级偏低,应以改革创新为核心,扩权赋能激发县域发展自主性和能动性,率先实现高质量发展.潜力型县市 687 个,主要面临过早过快"去工业化"、人口和资金外流、经济调控能力弱、开发区作用不突出等问题,未来需要以锻长补短为核心,开动新型工业化和新型城镇化两大引擎,培育县域经济新增长点.基础型县市996 个,肩负着保障国家粮食、生态、能源和边疆安全重任,客观上牺牲了发展权,统筹发展和保护压力大、缩小与全国发展差距难度高,需要国家和省级层面统筹协调和利益补偿,推动点上开发、面上保护,将资源环境优势转化为发展优势.
Differentiated path of high-quality development of county economy:Based on the three-dimensional classification framework of economy-population-resources and environment
This paper establishes a three-dimensional classification framework of economy,population,resources and environment,and divides counties into three categories:leading type,potential type and basic type.Among them,there are 187 leading counties,their future development is mainly limited by narrow spatial scope and low administrative level.Therefore,reform and innovation should be the core,and the autonomy and initiative of county development should be stimulated through power expansion and empowerment,and take the lead in achieving high-quality development.There are 687 potential counties,which mainly face problems such as premature and rapid industrialization,population outflow and capital outflow,weak economic regulation capacity,and inadequate role of development zones.In the future,we need to focus on strengthening our strengths,launching the two engines of new industrialization and urbanization,and fostering new growth points for county economies.There are 996 basic counties,which shoulder the important task of ensuring national food,ecology,energy and border security.They have sacrificed their right to development.Overall development and protection are under great pressure,and it is difficult to narrow the development gap with the whole country.Turn resource and environmental advantages into development advantages.

county economyhigh-quality developmentclassificationdifferentiated development

潘彪、黄征学、党丽娟

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中国宏观经济研究院国土开发与地区经济研究所,北京 100038

县域经济 高质量发展 分类 差异化发展

国家发展改革委地区经济司课题

2024

中国软科学
中国软科学研究会

中国软科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.793
ISSN:1002-9753
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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