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重大投资项目发挥带动作用的时空逻辑

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发挥重大投资项目带动作用是构建新发展格局的关键之举,但对其实际效果及决定因素仍有待深入研究.在70 年的长期视野下,利用区县层面数据探讨重大产业投资在经济转型过程中的实际表现及其原因.通过倾向值匹配和工具变量法减弱可能存在的内生性偏误后,研究发现:重大投资项目激发人口等经济要素在本地集聚的前提条件是市场化改革打破了要素流动限制;而在开放环境中,更易于融入全球产业链分工体系的投资项目对集聚经济的形成发挥了更强作用,且这一效应在靠近沿海港口的地区更为强烈.研究结果表明,只有顺应市场化和全球化趋势,重大投资项目才能够激发高水平的产业集聚和推动长期的经济增长,从而揭示了"吃改革饭、走开放路"对于中国经济发展的重大意义.
Spatiotemporal logic of major investment projects effectiveness
The key to building a new development pattern is to leverage the driving role of major investment projects,but its actual effects and determining factors still need further research.This article explores the actual performance and reasons of major industrial investment in the process of economic transformation using county-level data from a long-term perspective of 70 years.After weakening possible endogeneity bias through propensity value matching and instrumental variable method,the study found that:free flow of factors is a prerequisite for major investment projects to stimulate local agglomeration of factors such as population;in an open environment,investment projects that are more easily integrated into the global division of labor system have a stronger impact on the formation of agglomeration economies,and this effect is more pronounced in areas near coastal ports.The research results of this article indicate that only by following the trend of marketization and globalization can major investment projects stimulate high-level industrial agglomeration and promote long-term economic growth,thus revealing the significant significance of"reform and opening-up"for China's economic development.

major investment projectsmarket-oriented reformgeographical location"156 project"

李天健

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中国社会科学院经济研究所,北京 100836

重大投资项目 市场化改革 地理区位 "156工程"

国家社会科学基金一般项目国家社会科学基金重大项目

22BJL00919ZDA224

2024

中国软科学
中国软科学研究会

中国软科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.793
ISSN:1002-9753
年,卷(期):2024.(5)
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