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国家中心城市农产品物流韧性评价及提升策略研究

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为提高农产品物流抵抗不确定风险的能力,从茁壮力、稳定力和再造力三个维度构建农产品物流韧性的综合评价指标体系,采用熵权法对国家中心城市农产品物流韧性进行测算分析,并利用障碍度模型对制约农产品物流韧性的障碍因子进行分析.结果表明,国家中心城市农产品物流韧性在2010-2022年间由0.1482提升至0.3345,整体呈现稳步上升趋势,其中首批确定的国家中心城市的农产品物流韧性普遍高于第二批确定的国家中心城市;农产品物流系统韧性呈现上升趋势,其中再造力子系统增长速率最快;对比各国家中心城市的子系统障碍度,其中稳定力子系统的障碍度最大,其年均障碍度超过50%.通过研究得出结论,农产品货运周转量、物流科研支出、物流企业数、农产品货运量和农产品物流总额等关键因子对于国家中心城市的农产品物流韧性影响最大.因此,提出三点提升策略:一是补齐城市短板,推进农产品物流韧性协调发展;二是多渠道融合发展,提升农产品物流稳定力;三是清除约束障碍,助推农产品物流韧性.
The Evaluation of Agricultural Products Logistics Resilience and Promoting Strategies in National Central Cities
In order to improve the ability of agricultural product logistics to resist uncertain risks,a comprehensive evaluation index system of agricultural product logistics toughness is constructed from three dimensions:robustness,stability and reproductivity.The entropy weight method is used to measure and analyze the toughness of agricultural product logistics in national central cities,and the obstacle degree model is used to analyze the obstacle factors restricting the toughness of agricultural product logistics.The toughness of agricultural products logistics in national central cities was increased from 0.1482 to 0.3345 during 2010-2022,showing a steady upward trend as a whole.The toughness of agricultural products logistics in the first batch of national central cities is generally higher than that in the second batch of national central cities.The toughness of agricultural products logistics system shows a rising trend,and the growth rate of the recycling power subsystem is the fastest.Compared with the sub-system obstacle degree of central cities in different countries,the stability sub-system has the largest obstacle degree,and its average annual obstacle degree exceeds 50%.It is concluded that the key factors such as freight turnover of agricultural products,logistics research expenditure,number of logistics enterprises,freight volume of agricultural products and total amount of agricultural products logistics have the greatest impact on the resilience of agricultural products logistics in national central cities.And the paper puts forward three improvement strategies:1)making up for the shortcomings of the city and promoting the coordinated development of agricultural products logistics resilience,2)carrying out multi-channel integrated development to improve the stability of agricultural products logistics,and 3)removing constraints and promoting the resilience of agricultural products logistics.

national central citylogistics resilienceagricultural productresilience evaluationobstacle degree modelentropy method

刘战豫、任佳佳

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河南理工大学 工商管理学院,河南 焦作 454000

国家中心城市 物流韧性 农产品 韧性评价 障碍度模型 熵值法

国家社会科学基金项目河南省政府决策研究招标课题河南理工大学人文社会科学研究基金决策咨询研究

19BJY0662023JC0312023JDBF-03

2024

四川轻化工大学学报(社会科学版)
四川理工学院

四川轻化工大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.524
ISSN:2096-7535
年,卷(期):2024.39(1)
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