首页|基于Joinpoint分析1990-2019年中国归因于高BMI的2型糖尿病疾病负担

基于Joinpoint分析1990-2019年中国归因于高BMI的2型糖尿病疾病负担

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目的 在高体重指数(body mass index,BMI)率快速增长的情况下,分析 1990-2019 年中国归因于高BMI的 2 型糖尿病疾病负担.方法 基于 2019 年全球疾病负担研究数据,分性别、年龄组分析 1990-2019 年中国因高BMI造成的 2 型糖尿病疾病负担,并利用Joinpoint回归模型分析标化后的归因死亡率和归因伤残调整寿命年(disability-adjusted life year,DALY)率的变化趋势.结果 1990-2019 年间,我国 2 型糖尿病患病率从 2928.78/10 万增至 6328.79/10 万,归因高BMI的 2 型糖尿病死亡人数从 1.05 万增至 4.75 万,标化死亡率从 1.25/10 万增至 2.39/10 万;归因DALY从 77.18 万人年增至 373.76 万人年,标化后的归因DALY率从80.21/10 万增至 181.54/10 万,早死损失寿命年(years of life lost,YLL)和伤残损失寿命年(year lived with disability,YLD)及其标化率也呈大幅增长.1990-2019 年间,我国归因于高BMI的 2 型糖尿病标化死亡率和标化DALY率的年平均变化百分比分别为 2.28%和 2.81%,均有统计学意义(P<0.05),且男性均高于女性.男性标化后的归因DALY率和归因死亡率分别在 2010 年和 2014 年超过女性.年龄分层结果显示,50 岁以上人群高BMI导致的 2 型糖尿病疾病负担更加严重,15~49 岁人群归因于高BMI的YLD率增幅最大,达到 323.99%.结论 1990-2019 年间,中国归因于高BMI的 2 型糖尿病疾病负担显著增加.需加大防控力度,有效管理人群体重指数,并对高危人群采取重点干预,以减轻 2 型糖尿病疾病负担.
Analysis of the Disease Burden of Type 2 Diabetes Attributable to High BMI in China from 1990 to 2019 based on Joinpoint Regression Model
Objective To analyze the disease burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)attributable to high body mass index(BMI)in China from 1990 to 2019 in the context of rapid growth in high BMI rates.Methods Data was extracted from GBD 2019,and the disease burden of T2DM attributable to high BMI in China from 1990 to 2019 was analyzed for overall and subgroups defined by age and sex separately and jointly.The joinpoint regression models were used to analyze the trends of standardized death rate and standardized disability-adjusted life year(DALY)rate.Results From 1990 to 2019,the prevalence of T2DM increased from 2928.78 per 100000 to 6328.79 per 100000 in China.The number of T2DM deaths attributed to high BMI increased from 10500 to 47500 and the standardized death rate increased from 1.25 per 100000 to 2.39 per 100000.The attributed DALY increased from 771800 person-years to 3737600 person-years,and the standardized DALY rate increased from 80.21 per 100000 to 181.54 per 100000.Years of life lost(YLL)and years lived with disability(YLD)and their standardized rates also increased.From 1990 to 2019,the annual average percentage change of the standardized death rate and the standardized DALY rate of T2DM attributable to high BMI were 2.28%and 2.81%,respectively,which were statistically significant(P<0.05)and males were both higher than females.The standardized DALY rate and the standardized death rate of males exceeded that of females in 2010 and 2014,respectively.Age-stratified results showed that the burden of T2DM,which is attributed to a high BMI,is even greater in people over 50 years old.The YLD rate attributable to high BMI increased the most among the 15~49 age group,reaching 323.99%.Conclusion From 1990 to 2019,the disease burden of T2DM that can be attributed to high BMI increased significantly in China.It is necessary to strengthen prevention and control efforts,effectively manage population BMI,and adopt key interventions for high-risk groups to reduce the disease burden of T2DM.

Type 2 diabetes mellitusDisease burdenHigh body mass indexJoinpoint regression

魏俏俏、胡樱、胡迪、张嫣然、宇传华

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武汉大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系(430071)

2型糖尿病 疾病负担 高体重指数 Joinpoint回归

国家重点研发计划课题国家自然科学基金

2018YFC131530282173626

2024

中国卫生统计
中国卫生信息学会 中国医科大学

中国卫生统计

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.172
ISSN:1002-3674
年,卷(期):2024.41(1)
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