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简阳市单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状现状及预警模型构建和验证

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目的 分析简阳市单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状发生现状,并构建和验证预警模型,为制订促进青少年心理健康发展规划提供科学依据。方法 采用分层整群随机抽样方法,于2022年3月-2023年10月从简阳市25所中学选取12 125名初、高中生进行匿名自填式问卷调查,共获得有效单亲家庭青少年1 142名作为调查对象,按照8:2随机分为训练集(914名)和验证集(228名),采用中文版贝克抑郁量表(BDI)评估简阳市单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状情况。分析单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状的相关因素,建立预测模型并进行模型的验证及效能评估。结果 训练集158名(17。29%)青少年检出抑郁症状,验证集43名(18。86%)青少年检出有抑郁症状。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,学习压力(OR=4。31,95%CI=1。67~11。13)、心理弹性量表(CDRISC)评分(OR=0。29,95%CI=0。12~0。71)、家庭亲密度与适应性量表(FACESⅡ)评分(OR=0。19,95%CI=0。06~0。63)均是单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状发生的相关因素(P值均<0。05)。以上述相关因素作为预测变量建立列线图预测模型,验证结果显示,C-index为0。80(95%CI=0。75~0。80),预测单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状发生的校正曲线趋近于理想曲线(x2=0。26,P>0。05)。训练集受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线结果显示,列线图模型预测单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状的灵敏度为80。38%,特异度为80。03%,ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0。84(95%CI=0。76~0。92);验证集ROC曲线结果显示,列线图模型预测单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状的灵敏度为79。07%,特异度为82。16%,AUC为0。83(95%CI=0。76~0。91)。结论 简阳市单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状发生风险高,学习压力、心理弹性、家庭功能均是简阳市单亲家庭青少年抑郁症状发生的相关因素,基于此构建的预警模型效能良好。
Adolescent depressive symptoms in single-parent families in Jianyang City and construction and verification of the early warning model
Objective To analyze the current situation of adolescent depressive symptoms in single-parent families in Jianyang City,and to construct and verify the early warning model,so as to provide a scientific basis for the government to formulate a plan of promoting the development of adolescent mental health.Methods A stratified cluster random sampling method was used to se-lect 12 125 middle and high school students from 25 middle schools in Jianyang City from March 2022 to October 2023 for an anony-mous self-filling questionnaire survey,and a total of 1 142 adolescents from valid single-parent families were obtained as the survey objects.They were randomly divided into the training set(914 participants)and the verification set(228 participants)according to the ratio of 8∶2.The Chinese version of Beck depression Inventory(BDI)was used to evaluate depressive symptoms among adoles-cents from single-parent families in Jianyang City.The factors related of depressive symptoms in adolescents from single-parent fami-lies were analyzed,and a prediction model was established to verify the model and evaluate its effectiveness.Results There were 158 adolescents(17.29%)in the training set and 43 adolescents(18.86%)in the verification set with depressive symptoms.Multi-variate Logistic regression analysis showed that learning stress(OR=4.31,95%CI=1.67-11.13),Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale(CDRISC)score(OR=0.29,95%CI=0.12-0.71)and Family Adaptability and Cohesion Scale(FACES Ⅱ)scores(OR=0.19,95%CI=0.06-0.63)were all related factors the occurrence of depressive symptoms in adolescents from single-parent families(P<0.05).The results showed that the C-index was 0.80(95%CI=0.75-0.80),and the correction curve for predicting the occur-rence of depressive symptoms in single-parent families was close to the ideal curve(x2=0.26,P>0.05).Receiver operating charac-teristic(ROC)curve results of the training set showed that the sensitivity and specificity of the nomogram model in predicting de-pressive symptoms in adolescents from single-parent families were 80.38%and 80.03%respectively,ROC area under the curve(AUC)was 0.84(95%CI=0.76-0.92).The ROC curve results of the verification set showed that the sensitivity,specificity and AUC of histogram model to predict depressive symptoms in adolescents from single-parent families were 79.07%,82.16%and 0.83(95%CI=0.76-0.91).Conclusions Learning stress,mental resilience and family function are all factors that affect the occur-rence of depressive symptoms in adolescents from single parent families in Jianyang City.Based on this,the early warning model can predict depressive symptoms in Jianyang City.

Single-parent familyDepressionMental healthRegression analysisAdolescent

任小兵、徐洪霞、钟若诗、段昕、于静

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四川省简阳市人民医院健康管理中心,641401

简阳中学

单亲家庭 抑郁 精神卫生 回归分析 青少年

四川省科技计划项目

2019YJ0487

2024

中国学校卫生
中华预防医学会

中国学校卫生

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.423
ISSN:1000-9817
年,卷(期):2024.45(8)