中国血液净化2024,Vol.23Issue(3) :227-231.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-4091.2024.03.016

维持性血液透析患者导管相关感染风险预测模型构建与应对策略

Construction of a risk prediction model for catheter-related infection and treatment strategies of the in-fection in maintenance hemodialysis patients

熊媛媛 钟芳萍 彭爱平 王丽 胡明亮
中国血液净化2024,Vol.23Issue(3) :227-231.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-4091.2024.03.016

维持性血液透析患者导管相关感染风险预测模型构建与应对策略

Construction of a risk prediction model for catheter-related infection and treatment strategies of the in-fection in maintenance hemodialysis patients

熊媛媛 1钟芳萍 1彭爱平 1王丽 1胡明亮1
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作者信息

  • 1. 518110 深圳,深圳市龙华区人民医院肾内科
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摘要

目的 探讨维持性血液透析(maintenance hemodialysis,MHD)患者导管相关感染(catheter-related bloodstream infection,CRBSI)的影响因素,并构建预测模型与制订对策.方法 选取深圳市龙华区人民医院MHD患者204例为对照组,将其分为感染组(n=63)和无感染组(n=141).Logistic回归分析患者临床资料并构建模型;据模型、临床经验与文献报道,重新构建干预体系.另选取MHD患者198例为观察组,评价新干预体系效果.结果 糖尿病史(OR=2.237,95%CI:1.067~5.679,P=0.003)、置管时间(OR=3.647,95%CI:1.326~7.892,P=0.024)、导管护理频率(OR=6.679,95%CI:2.534~16.476,P=0.003)、无菌培训率(OR=2.889,95%CI:1.146~6.654,P=0.030)、血尿酸(OR=2.937,95%CI:1.627~8.883,P=0.014)是MHD患者发生CRBSI的独立影响因素.预测模型方程为Y=-20.673+1.116×血尿酸+1.012×无菌培训率+2.017×导管护理频率+1.912×置管时间+1.079×糖尿病史,采用Hosmer和Leme-show拟合优度检验方程(x2=10.678,P=0.236),受试者操作特征曲线显示曲线下面积为0.813,敏感性为89.47%,特异性为63.93%.观察组CRBSI发生率、不良事件发生率均低于对照组(x2=3.606、32.780,均P<0.001).结论 预测模型具有良好的判别效度,基于循证的系统化护理干预体系具有良好的防控MHD患者发生CRBSI效果.

Abstract

Objective To investigate the influencing factors for catheter-associated infection(CRBSI),to construct a prediction model,and to build up treatment strategies of the injection in patients with mainte-nance hemodialysis(MHD).Methods A total of 204 MHD patients in our hospital were selected as the con-trol subjects.They were divided into infected group(n=63)and non-infected group(n=141).Logistic regres-sion was used to analyze the patients'clinical data and to construct the model.A new intervention system was then established based on the model,clinical experience and literature reports.In addition,a total of 198 MHD patients were selected as the observation subjects to evaluate the effects of the new intervention system.Re-sults Diabetes history(OR=2.237,95%CI:1.067~5.679,P=0.003),catheter placement time(OR=3.647,95%CI:1.326~7.892,P=0.024),frequency of catheter care(OR=6.679,95%CI:2.534~16.476,P=0.003),aseptic training rate(OR=2.889,95%CI:1.146~6.654,P=0.030)and blood uric acid(OR=2.937,95%CI:1.627~8.883,P=0.014)were the independent influencing factors for CRBSI in MHD patients.The model equation was Y=-20.673+1.116×blood uric acid+1.012×aseptic training rate+2.017×catheter care frequency+1.912×catheterization time+1.079×diabetes history.Hosmer and Lemeshow's goodness of fit test equation was used(x2=10.678,P=0.236).Receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the area under the curve was 0.813,the sensitivity was 89.47%,and the specificity was 63.93%.The incidence of CRBSI and adverse events were lower in the observation group than those in the control group(x2=3.606 and 32.780;P<0.001).Conclusion The prediction model has a better discrimination validity,and the evidence-based systematic nursing intervention system has a better effect on preventing and controlling CRBSI in MHD patients.

关键词

维持性血液透析/循证/导管相关感染/预测模型/护理对策

Key words

Maintenance hemodialysis/Evidence-based/Catheter-associated infection/Prediction mod-el/Nursing countermeasure

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基金项目

深圳市龙华区医疗卫生机构区级科研项目(2023012)

深圳市科技计划(JCYJ20190808095615389)

出版年

2024
中国血液净化
中国医院协会

中国血液净化

CSTPCDCSCD
影响因子:1.54
ISSN:1671-4091
参考文献量19
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