首页|"情境差距"下组织的自适应与预案适应:一项基于城市内涝灾害应对的考察

"情境差距"下组织的自适应与预案适应:一项基于城市内涝灾害应对的考察

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随着城市化的推进,现代灾害日益呈现风险传导机理复杂、灾害影响跨领域等特征.由于灾害具有不确定性,灾前制度化的应对体系设计难以捕捉残余风险,决定了"情境差距"无法被根除,只能通过政府在应急管理中的灾害适应活动进行弥合.本文以 2021 年西安市 6 至 11 月城市内涝灾害应对为例,通过社会网络分析方法,从组织自适应与预案适应两个维度切入,探究地方政府灾害应对活动对"情境差距"的弥合情况.分析发现,城市内涝灾害情境下组织的自适应具有结构冗余提升、功能调适承担的特征;预案适应呈现重视基层应急能力建设、加强灾前预防的趋势.同时,组织自适应与预案适应互相联动、互有影响,共同推动地方政府灾害应对呈现"现实反馈-多次调适-预案学习"的适应性演化路径.本研究为提升复合型灾害背景下城市灾害治理水平、化解"情境差距"下能力滞后问题提供了有益思路.
Organizational Adaptation and Emergency Plan Adaptation under"Situational Gap":An Investigation Based on Urban Waterlogging Disaster Response
With the advancement of urbanization,modern disasters are increasingly characterized by complex risk-transmission mechanisms and cross-cutting impacts.Due to the uncertainty of disasters,it is difficult to capture residual risks in the design of pre-disaster institutionalized response system,which determines that the"situational gap"cannot be eradicated entirely,and it can only be bridged through government disaster adaptation activities in emergency management.Using the urban waterlogging disaster response in Xi'an from June to November 2021 as a case study,this paper investigated the bridging effect of local government disaster response activities on the"situational gap"through social network analysis methods from two perspectives:organizational adaptation and emergency plan adaptation.This paper finds that organizational adaptation in the context of urban waterlogging disasters tends to involve increased structural redundancy and functional adaptation.Similarly,the adaptation of emergency plans emphasizes the development of grassroots emergency capabilities and the reinforcement of disaster prevention efforts.Furthermore,organizational adaptation and emergency plan adaptation are interconnected and mutually influential,jointly facilitating the adaptive evolution path of local government disaster response,characterized by"realistic feedback-iterative adjustment-emergency plan learning".The paper offers valuable insights for enhancing urban disaster management amid compound disasters and solving the problem of lagging capacity under the"situational gap".

disaster responsesituational gapadaptionemergency planurban waterlogging

石佳、邓涵、王秋石

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西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院,西安 710049

中山大学政治与公共事务管理学院,广州 510275

灾害应对 情境差距 适应性 应急预案 城市内涝

国家自然科学基金青年项目国家自然科学基金面上项目

7210419372174215

2024

中国行政管理
中国行政管理学会

中国行政管理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.082
ISSN:1006-0863
年,卷(期):2024.40(2)
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