中国政法大学学报2024,Issue(2) :72-90.

中国增长模式视角下的地方债务风险及其化解

陶然 余家林
中国政法大学学报2024,Issue(2) :72-90.

中国增长模式视角下的地方债务风险及其化解

陶然 1余家林2
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作者信息

  • 1. 香港中文大学(深圳)人文社科学院
  • 2. 中国社会科学院农村发展研究所
  • 折叠

摘要

有效化解地方政府债务风险是中国经济守住不发生系统性风险底线的关键.过去二十多年,中国逐步建立了特定的增长模式并实现了超常规的出口增长和经济增长.为应对2008年国际金融危机,中央政府推动了多轮次的大规模财政和信贷刺激,地方政府借势举债融资,引发地方政府债务的快速扩张.数据评估结果显示,地方政府债务的结构性、区域性风险仍需引起高度重视.未来应该在全国范围内推动地方政府债务重组,并对债务严重地区实施财政重整.同时,还应该推动市场化导向的结构性改革,逐步打破三类行政性垄断,在遏制新增债务的同时通过释放经济活力、推动经济增长来消化存量债务.

Abstract

Effectively resolving local government debt risks is crucial for China's economy to avoid systemic risks.Over the past two decades,China has gradually built a unique growth model that helped the country achieve extraordinary export growth and significant economic development.In response to the 2008 international financial crisis,the central government initiated multiple rounds of large-scale fiscal and credit stimulus.Local governments took the advantage and financed extensively,which led to the rapid expansion of local government debt.Our assessment in this research indicates that there are significant structural and regional risks of local government debt.In the future,it is necessary to promote nationwide local government debt restructuring and implement fiscal restructuring in regions with severe debt.It is also essential to promote market-oriented structural reforms,gradually breaking the three types of administrative monopolies in the economy.These structural reforms would not only curb the further accumulation of local government debt but also unleash economic vitality that brings about further economic growth to finally resolve the issue of huge existing local debt.

关键词

中国增长模式/地方政府债务/债务化解

Key words

China's growth model/local government debt/resolving debt

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基金项目

国家社会科学基金重大项目(17ZDA075)

香港中文大学科研启动基金()

出版年

2024
中国政法大学学报

中国政法大学学报

CHSSCD
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参考文献量40
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