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湖北省城市雨涝灾害韧性的时空演变及障碍因子

Spatio-temporal evolutionary and obstacle factors of urban waterlogging disaster resilience in Hubei province

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为探讨湖北省城市雨涝灾害韧性的时空演变及障碍因子,构建包含经济、社会、基础设施和生态环境 4 维度韧性评价指标体系,采用组合权重TOPSIS法测度韧性水平,结合GIS空间分析方法探究其时空演变特征,运用障碍度模型对评价结果进行障碍因子诊断.研究结果表明:湖北省城市雨涝灾害韧性整体呈上升趋势,各城市间韧性指数差异程度有所减小,韧性水平趋向均衡化发展;湖北省城市雨涝灾害韧性呈现"东西强、中间弱"空间分布格局,全局不存在显著的空间集聚性;单位面积泵站数量、万人在校大学生数、公共安全财政投入比、排水管道密度和人均GDP是制约湖北省城市雨涝灾害韧性的5 大主要障碍因子.研究结果可为湖北省制定区域洪涝灾害管理政策及韧性城市规划提供参考.
In order to investigate the spatio-temporal evolutionary and obstacle factors of urban waterlogging disaster resilience in Hubei province,an evaluation index system of urban waterlogging disaster resilience was constructed from four dimensions,including economic,society,infrastructure and ecological environment,and the level of resilience was measured by using the combined weight-TOPSIS method.Its spatio-temporal evolutionary characteristics was explored by combining the GIS spatial analysis method,and the obstacle degree model was used to diagnose the obstacle factors.The results show that the urban wa-terlogging disaster resilience in Hubei province presents an upward trend,the difference of resilience index among the cities has decreased,and the resilience level tends to be balanced.The urban waterlogging disaster resilience in Hubei province presents a spatial distribution of"strong in east and west,weak in middle",with no significant spatial agglomeration across the board.The number of pumping stations per unit area,the number of college students per 10,000 people,the ratio of finan-cial investment in public safety,the density of drainage pipes and GDP per capita are the five prominent obstacle factors limit-ing the urban waterlogging disaster resilience in Hubei province.The results can provide a reference for Hubei province to for-mulate the regional flood management and resilient city plans.

urban waterlogging disaster resiliencecombined weight-TOPSISGIS spatial analysis methodobstacle fac-torHubei province

陈述、远维康、颜克胜、袁修猛、罗楠

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三峡大学 水电工程施工与管理湖北省重点实验室,湖北 宜昌 443002

三峡大学 水利与环境学院,湖北 宜昌 443002

湖北省水利经济管理办公室,湖北 武汉 430022

湖北省水利水电科学研究院,湖北 武汉 430070

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城市雨涝灾害韧性 组合权重TOPSIS GIS空间分析法 障碍因子 湖北省

国家自然科学基金湖北省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目湖北省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目

5207907321Y04222Q030

2024

中国安全生产科学技术
中国安全生产科学研究院

中国安全生产科学技术

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.119
ISSN:1673-193X
年,卷(期):2024.20(2)
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