Data-driven risk analysis on all cargo plane transportation and passenger plane belly cabin transportation of air cargo
To ensure the safety of air cargo transportation,based on the Unsafe Event Database of the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration in the United States,the probability inference on the threat and vulnerability of cargo transpor-tation by all cargo plane and passenger plane belly cabin was conducted combining with Bayesian network model.The severity of consequence was quantified by using fuzzy loss,and the risk values of cargo transportation by all cargo plane and passenger plane belly cabin were calculated.The results show that the risk value of cargo transportation by the all cargo plane is 9.01,and the risk value of cargo transportation by the passenger plane belly cabin is 46.66.The risk value of cargo transportation by all cargo plane is lower than that by the passenger plane belly cabin.Based on the results of risk analysis,the risk manage-ment of cargo can be optimized by reasonably planning the types of air dangerous goods transportation,strengthening the in-spection and identification of undeclared dangerous goods,and standardizing the collection and verification system.The re-search results can provide theoretical support for the adjustment of air cargo security inspection strategies.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
