中国安全生产科学技术2024,Vol.20Issue(12) :12-18.DOI:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.12.002

基于概率论的高边坡爆破振动安全预测及控制研究

Safety prediction and control of blasting vibration on high slope based on probability theory

李启月 李丽 黄海仙 肖宇航 魏新傲
中国安全生产科学技术2024,Vol.20Issue(12) :12-18.DOI:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.12.002

基于概率论的高边坡爆破振动安全预测及控制研究

Safety prediction and control of blasting vibration on high slope based on probability theory

李启月 1李丽 1黄海仙 1肖宇航 1魏新傲1
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作者信息

  • 1. 中南大学资源与安全工程学院,湖南长沙 410083
  • 折叠

摘要

为最大程度地削弱高边坡爆破振动对自身及周边构(建)筑物造成的影响,必须准确及时地预测及控制高边坡爆破振动.选取高程差修正后的经验公式作为质点峰值振动速度预测模型,利用最小二乘法原理求解预测模型参数K,α,β.考虑到爆破振动的随机性,假设实测质点峰值振速服从正态分布,将其分布函数标准正态化,最后引入概率论中置信度的概念,建立爆破振动安全水平、最大单段安全药量与安全范围预测及控制模型,并在工程实例中应用.研究结果表明:基于概率论得到的爆破振动预测及控制模型的预测结果可靠性更高.研究结果可为该模型在类似工程爆破振动安全控制中的应用提供参考.

Abstract

In order to minimize the influence of blasting vibration of high slope on itself and surrounding structures (build-ings),it is necessary to accurately and timely predict and control the blasting vibration of high slope. The empirical formula after the correction of elevation difference was selected as the prediction model of peak particle vibration velocity,and the pa-rameters K,α and β of the prediction model were solved by using the principle of least squares. Considering the randomness of blasting vibration,the standard normalization of distribution function was conducted by assuming that the peak vibration veloc-ity of the measured particles obeyed the normal distribution. Finally,the concept of confidence in probability theory was intro-duced,then the prediction and control models of blasting vibration safety level,maximum single-stage safety dosage and safety range were established and applied in engineering examples. The results show that the prediction results of blasting vibration prediction and control model based on probability theory are more reliable. The research results can provide reference for the application of the model in the safety control of blasting vibration in similar projects.

关键词

高边坡爆破/质点峰值振动速度预测模型/概率论/安全范围预测及控制模型

Key words

high slope blasting/prediction model of peak particle vibration velocity/probability theory/safety range predic-tion and control model

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出版年

2024
中国安全生产科学技术
中国安全生产科学研究院

中国安全生产科学技术

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.119
ISSN:1673-193X
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