首页|基于临床指标和MRI特征的列线图预测肝细胞癌患者微血管转移模式的研究

基于临床指标和MRI特征的列线图预测肝细胞癌患者微血管转移模式的研究

A nomogram based on clinical factors and MRI features for prediction of microvascular metastasis patterns in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

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目的 基于临床指标和钆塞酸二钠(Gd-EOB-DTPA)增强MR1特征构建列线图,探讨该列线图对肝细胞癌(HCC)患者血管包绕肿瘤细胞簇(VETC)阳性和/或微血管侵犯(MVI)阳性的预测价值.方法 回顾性分析2014年8月至2021年12月在南通大学附属南通第三医院行肝癌根治性切除术的240例HCC患者的临床资料,其中男性169例,女性71例,年龄(58.4±9.1)岁,年龄范围35~82岁.术后病理结果显示,VETC和/或MVI阳性的HCC患者有121例,VETC和MVI均为阴性的HCC患者有119例.收集患者的性别、年龄、术前维生素K缺乏或拮抗剂Ⅱ诱导的蛋白(PIVKA-Ⅱ)、甲胎蛋白(AFP)水平等临床资料.多因素logistic回归分析确定VETC和/或MVI阳性的风险因素,并构建列线图模型.采用C指数和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价模型的区分度,绘制校准图评价模型的校准度.结果 多因素logistic回归结果显示,血清PIVKA-Ⅱ≥40 mAU/ml(OR=3.686,95%CI:1.883~7.217,P<0.001)、瘤周强化(OR=2.513,95%CI:1.154~5.476,P=0.020)、≥50%动脉期低强化成分(OR=3.042,95%CI:1.535~6.028,P=0.001)、肝胆期瘤周低信号(OR=2.682,95%CI:1.250~5.754,P=0.011)及低肝胆期肿瘤-肝实质信号强度比(OR=0.024,95%CI:0.004~0.133,P<0.001)的HCC患者,VETC和/或MVI阳性的风险高.整合上述5个独立危险因素构建列线图模型,其C指数为0.828,ROC曲线下面积为0.83(95%CI:O.77~0.87),且校准图显示模型的预测概率和实际概率之间具有良好的一致性.结论 基于Gd-EOB-DTPA增强MRI特征和临床指标建立的列线图对HCC患者VETC和/或MVI阳性的预测效能较好.
Objective To investigate the predictive value of a nomogram based on clinical factors and gadoxetic acid disodium(Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced MRI features for predicting positive of vessels encapsulating tumor clusters(VETC)and/or positive of microvascular invasion(MVI)in patients with hep-atocellular carcinoma(HCC)(VM-HCC).Methods Clinical data of 240 patients with HCC who under-went radical hepatectomy in Affiliated Nantong Hospital 3 of Nantong University from August 2014 to Decem-ber 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.There were 169 males and 71 females,aged(58.4±9.1)years old,ranging from 35 to 82 years old.According to the status of MVI and VETC detected by postoperative pathology:121 cases HCC patients with VETC and/or MVI positive,and 119 cases HCC patients with VETC and MVI negative.Clinical data such as gender,age,protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-Ⅱ(PIVKA-Ⅱ),and alpha-fetoprotein(AFP)level were collected.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent predictors related to VM-HCC,and a nomogram model was construc-ted.C-index and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to evaluate the model's discrimi-nation,and calibration curves were used to evaluate the model's consistency.Results Multivariate logistic regression showed that patients with PIVKA-Ⅱ ≥40 mAU/ml(OR=3.686,95%CI:1.883-7.217,P<0.001),arterial peritumoral enhancement(OR=2.513,95%CI:1.154-5.476,P=0.020),≥50%arterial phase hypovascular component(OR=3.042,95%CI:1.535-6.028,P=0.001),peritumoral hypointensity on hepatobiliary phase(OR=2.682,95%CI:1.250-5.754,P=0.011),and lower tumor to liver contrast ratio on hepatobiliary phase(OR=0.024,95%CI:0.004-0.133,P<0.001)had a high risk of VM-HCC.The above five independent risk factors were integrated to construct a nomogram model,the C-index was 0.828,and area under the curve was 0.83(95%CI:0.77-0.87),and the calibration curve had a good consistency.Conclusion The nomogram model based on indicators of clinical and Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI has an effective performance in predicting microvascular metastasis patterns in HCC patients.

Liver neoplasmsGadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine penta acetic acidMagnetic resonance imagingMicrovascular invasionVessels encapsulating tumor clusters

瞿琦、鲁梦恬、刘子鑫、张继云、顾春燕、姜吉锋、张学琴、张涛

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南通大学附属南通第三医院(南通市第三人民医院)放射科,南通 226006

南通大学附属南通第三医院(南通市第三人民医院)病理科,南通 226006

肝肿瘤 钆塞酸二钠 磁共振成像 微血管侵犯 血管包绕肿瘤细胞簇

江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划江苏省研究型医院学会感染影像科研专项科技项目南通市科技计划

SJCX22-1633GY202203MS22022056

2024

中华肝胆外科杂志
中华医学会

中华肝胆外科杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.846
ISSN:1007-8118
年,卷(期):2024.30(4)
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