Basic Characteristics and Trend Prediction of Spatio-temporal Development of China's Animal Husbandry Industry
Since the reform and opening up,the total output value of China's livestock husbandry has continued to improve.It has gone through the stages of production expansion,structural adjustment,sustained and healthy development,and high-quality devel-opment.It's gradually realizing a double leap in quantity and quality,and accelerating the advancement of large-scale,standard-ization,industrialization,regionalization and mechanization level.Using a number of indicators such as policy,production value,mechanization level and farming structure etc,this paper analyzes in-depth the changing characteristics of the national and regional animal husbandry development from both time and space dimensions.Based on this,we predict the trend of the national and re-gional livestock husbandry production value from 2023 to 2027.The study shows that in the future,the output value of the national livestock husbandry will maintain a compound annual growth rate of 6.63％from 2023 to 2027,and is expected to reach a scale of 387 million yuan by 2027.Among them,the average annual growth rate of the Northwest region is expected to exceed 10％,and the average annual growth rate of the rest of the region is expected to stay above and below 6％.Based on this,this paper suggests that in order to build the livestock industry with high quality,we should focus on optimizing the level of resource allocation,balancing sustainable and green development,improving the level of intelligent support for animal husbandry,increasing policy support.
LivestockTransformation and upgradingSpatio-temporal evolutionGray forecastingShare of production value
万方数据
维普
