The purpose of this study is to explore the theoretical logic,practical dilemmas and technical paradigms of scenario analysis of territorial space pattern optimization to provide ideas and references for territorial space governance against the background of Chinese modernization.The research methods of literature review,induction and deduction,and theoretical analysis are applied.The research methods of literature review,induction and deduction,and theoretiaal analysis are applied.The results show that:1)the theory and method of scenario analysis of territorial space pattern optimization need to be further explored in terms of integration of elements and spatial scales,the collaboration of evolution mechanisms and optimization model,scenario assessment and comparative analysis.2)Taking space as the carrier and external guidance of elements,using elements as the core and internal motivation of space,and matching different development paths and optimization goals with scenarios is the theoretical logic of scenario analysis of territorial space pattern optimization.3)Exploring the internal mechanism of territorial space evolution and the overall behavior model and its regulatory mechanism are the basis approaches for optimization analysis.The adjustment and allocation of element structure at different spatial scales are the core contents in scenario analysis.In conclusion,it is necessary to accelerate the formation of a scenario analysis paradigm for territorial space pattern optimization with comprehensive factors,muti-process correlation and hierarchical integration to promote the modernization of territorial space governance capabilities and the modernization of harmonious coexistence between human and nature.
territorial space pattern optimizationscenario analysistheoretical logicconcept modelgovernance pathway