首页|基于"极化—涓滴"理论的成渝地区双城经济圈休耕地分区研究

基于"极化—涓滴"理论的成渝地区双城经济圈休耕地分区研究

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研究目的:将"极化—涓滴"理论引入耕地休耕研究,探索成渝地区双城经济圈休耕地分区管制策略与技术方法.研究方法:PSR模型、灰色预测模型、GIS空间分析法.研究结果:(1)研究区耕地利用极化度整体较高,需加强耕地养护.(2)以耕地保有量为休耕规模约束条件,得出目标年可休耕规模共397.66万hm2,占研究区耕地总面积的35.11%,呈"中""东"两大主要集聚区.(3)根据综合休耕指数,将研究区划分为优先休耕区、重点休耕区、有条件休耕区和后备休耕区,针对不同类型区特点制定个性化的休耕模式及实施机制.研究结论:休耕地分区受"极化度"和"休耕规模"双重约束,未来应关注耕地健康状况,在保障粮食安全的基础上,合理规划分区开展休耕.
Study on Zoning of Fallow Land in the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle Based on the Theory of Polarization and Trickle-down Effect
The purposes of this study are to introduce the theory of polarization and trickle-down effect into the research on fallow land,and to explore inter-provincial fallow land zoning control strategies and technical methods.The research methods are the PSR model,Grey GM(1,1)model and GIS spatial analysis.The results show that:1)the polarization grade of cultivated land in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle is relatively high,and the cultivated land conservation should be strengthened urgently.2)The constraint on the scale of fallow land is the amount of cultivated land based on the food security.The annual scale of fallow land in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle can reach 397.66 million ha objectively,the proportion of which can reach 35.11%of the total cultivated land in the study area.The two main cluster areas that present in the space of fallow land are"middle"and"east".3)According to the composite index,the study area is divided into four types,including priority fallow region,key fallow region,conditional fallow region and reserved fallow region.According to different types,different strategies of fallow land are put forward.In conclusion,the spatial allocation of fallow land is constrained by"polarization grade"and"fallow scale".The health status of cultivated land in the future deserves more attention and fallow land in different regions should be delineated reasonably based on the principle of regional food security.

fallow landzoningthe theory of polarization and trickle-down effectfood securityChengdu-Chongqing economic circle

江雅婷、赵伟、骆佳玲、谢海浪

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重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心,重庆 400067

重庆工商大学环境与资源学院,重庆 400067

重庆工商大学公共管理学院,重庆 400067

耕地休耕 分区 "极化—涓滴"理论 粮食安全 成渝地区双城经济圈

重庆市社会科学规划重大项目重庆市社会科学规划重点项目重庆工商大学"学习贯彻党的二十大精神"研究生专项

2023ZDSC112022MZD0922yqzxesd003

2024

中国土地科学
中国土地学会 中国土地勘测规划院

中国土地科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.396
ISSN:1001-8158
年,卷(期):2024.38(2)
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