中华普通外科杂志2024,Vol.39Issue(8) :609-614.DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn113855-20231023-00263

Naples预后评分在肝内胆管癌患者长期生存中的预测价值

Predictive value of Naples prognostic score on long-term outcome in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

姜沆 陈星 吴嘉 韩方 胡超 徐林伟 柳蒋书 张宇华
中华普通外科杂志2024,Vol.39Issue(8) :609-614.DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn113855-20231023-00263

Naples预后评分在肝内胆管癌患者长期生存中的预测价值

Predictive value of Naples prognostic score on long-term outcome in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

姜沆 1陈星 2吴嘉 2韩方 2胡超 2徐林伟 2柳蒋书 3张宇华2
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作者信息

  • 1. 浙江中医药大学第二临床医学院,杭州 310053;浙江省肿瘤医院肝胆胰外科,杭州 310022;中国科学院杭州医学研究所,杭州 310018
  • 2. 浙江省肿瘤医院肝胆胰外科,杭州 310022;中国科学院杭州医学研究所,杭州 310018
  • 3. 中国科学院杭州医学研究所,杭州 310018;浙江省肿瘤医院病理科,杭州 310022
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摘要

目的 探讨Naples预后评分(Naples prognostic score,NPS)对肝内胆管癌(intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma,ICC)患者肝切除术后总生存期(overall survival,OS)的预测价值.方法 回顾性分析2010年1月至2022年8月在浙江省肿瘤医院接受肝切除治疗的164例ICC患者临床病理资料及预后数据.基于术前血清白蛋白、总胆固醇、中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值以及淋巴细胞/单核细胞比值计算NPS,分析NPS与OS的关系,比较NPS与TNM分期及其他独立危险因素预测长期生存的效能.结果 多因素分析结果显示,NPS[1分比0分:1.864(1.011~3.437),P=0.046;2分比0分:3.013(1.465~6.199),P=0.003]是OS的独立危险因素.NPS预测ICC术后5年OS受试者工作特征曲线的曲线下面积为0.75,高于TNM分期(0.59)及其他独立危险因素(CA19-9:0.71;淋巴结转移:0.66;肿瘤大小:0.62;微血管侵犯:0.56).结论 NPS是影响ICC患者术后OS的独立危险因素.

Abstract

Objective To investigate the predictive value of Naples prognostic score(NPS)in assessing the overall survival of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(ICC)patients after receiving hepatectomy treatment.Methods Clinicopathological characteristics and follow-up data of 164 ICC patients who underwent curative hepatectomy at Zhejiang Cancer Hospital from Jan 2010 to Aug 2022 were retrospectively collected.NPS was calculated basing on preoperative serum albumin concentration,total cholesterol concentration,the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio,and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio.The relationship between NPS and overall survival was analyzed,and the efficacy of NPS in predicting long-term survival was compared to TNM staging system and other independent risk factors.Results Multivariate analysis identified the NPS[Score 1 versus 0:1.864(1.011-3.437),P=0.046;Score 2 versus 0:3.013(1.465-6.199),P=0.003]as an independent risk factor for overall survival.The area under curve(AUC)of the rece 中 iver operating characteristic(ROC)curve for predicting 5-year OS based on NPS is 0.75,which is higher than TNM staging(0.59)and other independent risk factors(CA19-9:0.71,lymph node metastasis:0.66,tumor size:0.62,microvascular invasion:0.56).Conclusion NPS as an independent predictor of overall survival for ICC patients,is more accurate than TNM staging system and other clinicopathological factors.

关键词

胆管上皮癌/存活率/Naples预后评分/曲线下面积

Key words

Cholangiocarcinoma/Survival rate/Naples prognostic score/Area under the curve

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基金项目

浙江省自然科学基金(LQ23H160010)

浙江省肿瘤医院国自然培育基金(PY2022024)

出版年

2024
中华普通外科杂志
中华医学会

中华普通外科杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.11
ISSN:1007-631X
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