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2000-2023年云南省流行性乙型脑炎流行特征及时空聚集分析

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目的 分析2000-2023年云南省流行性乙型脑炎(乙脑)流行病学特征,为防控工作提供科学依据.方法 采用描述流行病学方法进行流行特征分析,Excel 2019和ArcGIS 10.8.2软件用于建立病例数据库并制图,应用Joinpoint 4.9.1软件进行时间趋势分析,应用ArcGIS 10.8.2软件构建地理信息数据库并进行空间自相关分析,应用SaTScan 10.1.2软件进行时空扫描分析.结果 2000-2023年云南省共报告乙脑病例7 006例,死亡342例,年均发病率为0.58/10万(0.03/10万~1.69/10万),病死率为4.88%,发病率和病死率均呈下降趋势.全省16个州(市)129个县(市、区)均有乙脑病例报告,各州(市)年均发病率为0.09/10万~1.96/10万,西双版纳、德宏、昭通、保山、普洱、文山和楚雄州(市)为高流行区,时空扫描分析发现滇西南中缅和中老边境地区6个州(市)的33个县构成一类聚集区,滇东北昭通市9个县(区)构成二类聚集区.全年各月均有乙脑病例发生,主要流行期为5~10月;病例男女之比为1.54∶1,<15岁年龄组构成比为68.49%,≥15岁组为31.51%;散居儿童和托幼儿童构成比为38.54%,学生为33.19%,农民为21.18%.结论 乙脑在云南省广泛分布,高发地区主要聚集在滇西南和滇东北地区,儿童发病率较高,成年人和农民发病数显著上升.仍需加强高发地区尤其是农村地区乙脑防控以及全面落实儿童乙脑免疫规划和成人乙脑防控工作.
Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering analysis of Japanese encephalitis in Yunnan province from 2000 to 2023
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of Japanese encephalitis(JE)in Yunnan province,China from 2000 to 2023,and to provide scientific basis for prevention and control work.Methods Descriptive epidemiological method were used for epidemiological feature analysis.Excel 2019 and ArcGIS 10.8.2 software were used to establish case databases and map drawings,Joinpoint 4.9.1 software was used to conduct time trend analysis,and ArcGIS 10.8.2 software was used to construct a geographic information database and conduct spatial autocorrelation analysis.SaTScan 10.1.2 software was used for spatiotemporal scanning analysis.Results A total of 7 006 JE cases and 342 deaths were reported in Yunnan province from 2000 to 2023,with an average annual incidence of 0.58/100 000(0.03/100 000-1.69/100 000)and a fatality rate of 4.88%,both of which showed a decreasing trend.JE cases have been reported in 129 counties in 16 prefectures of the province,and the average annual incidence rate in prefecture was 0.09/100 000-1.96/100 000.Xishuangbanna,Dehong,Zhaotong,Baoshan,Pu'er,Wenshan and Chuxiong prefectures were highly prevalent areas.Spatial-temporal scanning analysis found that 33 counties in 6 prefectures in the China-Myanmar and China-Laos border areas in southwest Yunnan constitute the first-class cluster area,and 9 counties in Zhaotong prefecture in northeastern Yunnan constitute the second-class cluster area.JE cases occured in every month of the year,with the main epidemic period from May to October.The ratio of male to female cases was 1.54∶1,the proportion of the age group<15 years was 68.49%,and the age group≥15 years was 31.51%.The proportion of scattered children and preschool children was 38.54%,with students accounting for 33.19%and farmers accounting for 21.18%.Conclusions JE was widely distributed in Yunnan province,with high-incidence areas mainly concentrated in southwestern and northeastern Yunnan.The incidence rate among children was high,and the number of cases among adults and farmers has increased significantly.It is still necessary to strengthen the prevention and control of JE in high-risk areas,especially in rural areas,and fully implement the children's JE immunization program and adult JE prevention measures.

Japanese encephalitisEpidemiological characteristicsSpatiotemporal aggregation

邓淑珍、华聪、王仕莲、李雯雯、张海林

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云南省疾病预防控制中心,昆明 650022

彝良县疾病预防控制中心,彝良 657600

大理大学公共卫生学院,大理 671000

云南省教育厅体卫艺处,昆明 650000

云南省地方病防治所 云南省自然疫源性疾病防控技术重点实验室,大理 671000

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流行性乙型脑炎 流行病学特征 时空聚集

2024

中华实验和临床病毒学杂志
中华医学会

中华实验和临床病毒学杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.718
ISSN:1003-9279
年,卷(期):2024.38(6)