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耦合"现状—趋势"的城市地表热环境评估

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针对城市地表热环境评估较少考虑动态变化趋势的问题,该文提出了一种新的耦合"现状—趋势"的城市地表热环境评估方法.采用非参数趋势检验法分析多年地表温度的演变趋势,有效识别地表温度的升高、未变化和降低趋势,并通过与现状地表温度的耦合叠加,深入挖掘现状地表温度高且呈升高趋势等热环境问题严重且紧迫的关键区域,从而实现对城市热环境状况的全面评估.以天津市中心城区为例的实证研究结果表明,该文所提出的评估方法能够有效地识别具有热环境持续恶化潜能的区域,同时也能揭示长期存在高温状况的重点区域.研究结果为城市规划与热环境精准管理提供科学评估工具,助力制定改善策略,提升热环境质量.
Assessment of the Urban Land Surface Thermal Environment Coupled with"Current-Trend"
According to the issue that the assessment of the urban surface thermal environment heavily focuses on the present state with insufficient attention to dynamic trends,a novel method for assessing the urban surface thermal environ-ment is proposed,coupled with"Current-Trend".By employing non-parametric trend tests,the evolution of surface tem-peratures over time is analyzed,efficiently pinpointing areas with increasing,no changing,and decreasing temperature trends.And by integrating these insights with current temperature data,the method identifies critical zones where thermal environmental concerns are both acute and escalating and thus to realize a comprehensive assessment of urban thermal envi-ronment conditions.Conducted in central urban area of Tianjin,a case study confirms the effectiveness of this approach in recognizing regions prone to worsening thermal conditions and areas persistently subject to high temperatures.The findings of this study furnish a scientific evaluative tool for the meticulous planning and management of urban thermal environments,facilitating the development of targeted strategies to ameliorate thermal conditions and elevate environmental quality.

surface thermal environment assessmentland surface temperatureevolution trendcoupled assess-mentcentral urban area of Tianjin

艾合麦提·那麦提、曾坚、宋苑震、刘祥

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天津大学建筑学院,天津,300072

地表热环境评估 地表温度 演变趋势 耦合评估 天津市中心城区

2025

灾害学
陕西省地震局

灾害学

北大核心
影响因子:1.548
ISSN:1000-811X
年,卷(期):2025.40(1)