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灾害态势感知:研究进展与未来展望

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灾害态势感知是灾害高效应对的基础和前提,是推动灾害预防关口前移、重心下移的关键环节.该文遵循"理论-方法-应用"逻辑框架,系统梳理灾害态势感知的概念内涵和模型结构,总结灾害态势要素提取与融合、态势评估与预测方法的进展,并解读灾害态势感知理论方法的实践应用.研究发现,该领域还存在研究场景多集中单一灾害或特定情景、理论研究偏重个体认知层面、方法研究侧重数据提取与融合、应用研究过多关注特定问题的解决等不足.未来研究应着重发展灾害态势感知的人机物协同理论体系、全息技术方法体系和面向应急决策的应用体系,以进一步提升和丰富灾害态势感知研究理论创新和知识体系.
Disaster Situation Awareness:Research Review and Prospect
Disaster situational awareness is the basis and prerequisite for an effective response to disasters,and it is a key link in promoting advanced prevention and a downward shift of the focus of disaster management.According to the logic frame of"theory-methodology-application",the connotation and modeling framework of disaster situational awareness are sorted out.The progress of disaster situational element extraction,element fusion,situational assessment,and situational derivation methods are summarized.The practical application of disaster situational awareness theory and methods is ex-plained.It is found that research in this field still has shortcomings such as research scenarios focusing on a single event,theoretical research favoring the individual level,methodological research focusing on data extraction and fusion,and ap-plied research focusing on specific problem-solving.In the future,it is necessary to focus on the development of a human-machine-object cooperative theory system,holographic technology and methodology system,and application system for emergency decision-making,to further enrich the theoretical innovation and knowledge system of disaster situational aware-ness research.

disaster situational awarenesssituation elementstheory-methodology-application

侯俊东、唐范、郭海湘

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中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430074

中国地质大学(武汉)自然灾害风险防控与应急管理实验室,湖北 武汉 430074

灾害态势感知 态势要素 理论-方法-应用

2025

灾害学
陕西省地震局

灾害学

北大核心
影响因子:1.548
ISSN:1000-811X
年,卷(期):2025.40(1)