浙江电力2024,Vol.43Issue(12) :68-76.DOI:10.19585/j.zjdl.202412007

基于GMM-FHMM的工业产线非介入式负荷辨识

Non-intrusive load monitoring for industrial production line based on GMM-FHMM

朱亮 支妍力 梅贱生 余萌 胡琛 徐超群
浙江电力2024,Vol.43Issue(12) :68-76.DOI:10.19585/j.zjdl.202412007

基于GMM-FHMM的工业产线非介入式负荷辨识

Non-intrusive load monitoring for industrial production line based on GMM-FHMM

朱亮 1支妍力 2梅贱生 3余萌 1胡琛 1徐超群4
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 国网江西省电力有限公司供电服务管理中心,南昌 330013
  • 2. 国网江西省电力有限公司,南昌 330001
  • 3. 国网江西省电力有限公司抚州供电分公司,江西 抚州 344199
  • 4. 东南大学,南京 211189
  • 折叠

摘要

非介入式负荷辨识对于支撑负荷预测、需求响应等应用的开展具有重要意义.针对产线型工业负荷用户子设备独立分解困难的问题,依托产线内设备联动运行的特点,提出了以产线为分解单位的非介入式负荷辨识方案.基于GMM(高斯混合模型)的因子化隐马尔可夫算法,实现了产线级负荷的细粒度呈现.同时,依据工业产线负荷总体规律稳定的特点,提出状态转移概率时间分段的分解模型构建方法,进一步了提升负荷辨识精度.实验结果表明,文中所提模型分别在多状态建模和时间分段阶段取得了性能提升,部分产线上的负荷辨识误差指标最终达到了近20%的下降.

Abstract

Non-intrusive load monitoring plays a significant role in supporting applications such as load forecasting and demand response. To address the challenge of independently decomposing sub-equipment in industrial load us-ers with production lines,a non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) scheme is proposed,using the production line as the decomposition unit,based on the interlinked operation of equipment within the line. A factorized hidden Markov model (FHMM),based on Gaussian mixture model (GMM),is employed to achieve a fine-grained representation of load at the production line level. Additionally,a time-segmented state transition probability decomposition model is developed,leveraging the stable overall load patterns of industrial production lines,to further enhance load monitor-ing accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model significantly improves performance in both multi-state modeling and time segmentation,with load monitoring error metrics on some production lines ultimately reduced by nearly 20%.

关键词

非介入式负荷辨识/工业产线/因子化隐马尔可夫模型/高斯混合模型/状态转移概率

Key words

non-intrusive load monitoring/industrial production line/FHMM/GMM/state transition probability

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
浙江电力
浙江省电力学会 浙江省电力试验研究院

浙江电力

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.438
ISSN:1007-1881
段落导航相关论文