首页|基于乳酸脱氢酶的诺模图模型对卒中相关性肺炎的预测价值

基于乳酸脱氢酶的诺模图模型对卒中相关性肺炎的预测价值

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目的 探讨乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)是否在卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)中起作用,并建立预测SAP的诺模图模型.方法 回顾性分析2013年2月至2021年1月4,552例卒中患者的临床资料,根据是否发生SAP,分为SAP组(n=754)和非卒中相关性肺炎(Non-SAP)组(n=3,798).采用单因素和多因素Logistic回归分析SAP的危险因素.采用R软件构建预测模型,应用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和校准曲线评估模型的准确性和有效性.采用决策曲线分析评估诺模图模型的应用价值.结果 根据Logistic回归分析提示乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、年龄、吞咽困难、卒中类型、美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分、住院时间和白细胞均与SAP独立相关,将其纳入诺模图模型.校准曲线和ROC曲线证实该诺模图预测模型的准确性.决策曲线分析表明,该诺模图模型在临床应用中具有较大的优越性.结论 LDH是SAP的危险因素,基于LDH的诺模图模型预测准确性高,是一种有价值的诊疗决策工具.
Objective To explore whether lactate dehydrogenase(LDH)playes a role in stroke-related pneumonia(SAP),and develop a nomogram in predicting the incidence of SAP.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 4,552 stroke patients between February 2013 and January 2021.Based on the occurrence of SAP,patients were categorized into the SAP group(n=754)and the Non-SAP group(n=3,798).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze risk factors of SAP.R software was used to construct a predictive nomogram,and the accuracy and validity of the resultant model were then evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and calibration curves.The decision curve analysis(DCA)was performed to assess the clinical usefulness of the nomogram.Results LDH,age,dysphagia,type of stroke,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,duration of hospitalization and leukocyte were all independently associated with SAP,which were then incorporated to construct the nomogram.Calibration curves and ROC curves confirmed that the resultant nomogram offered predictive accuracy.DCA showed that this nomogram model had a great benefit in clinical usage.Conclusion LDH is a risk factor of SAP.The nomogram model based LDH offers excellent predictive accuracy,making it a valuable tool for treatment decision making.

StrokePneumoniaLactic dehydrogenaseNomogram

戴才俊、严丹、黄琪琪、任文炜、涂军伟

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321000 浙江大学医学院附属金华医院

325000 温州医科大学附属第一医院

卒中 肺炎 乳酸脱氢酶 诺模图

2024

浙江临床医学
浙江中医药大学 浙江省科普作家协会医学卫生委员会

浙江临床医学

影响因子:0.52
ISSN:1008-7664
年,卷(期):2024.26(1)
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