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鲁南经济带国土空间格局演变特征与驱动力分析

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探究国土空间时空格局演变特征及其驱动因素对于实现国土空间资源高效配置和促进国土空间高质量发展具有重要意义.以鲁南经济带为研究对象,围绕时空演变和空间格局对国土空间格局演变特征展开分析,并运用地理探测器探究其驱动因素.结果表明:①2000-2020年,不同国土空间类型间动态变化差异明显,且综合动态度由东西失衡向全域均衡转变.②空间分布特征上,鲁南经济带国土空间变化整体分布较为均衡;在2005-2010年间各类型国土空间转换活跃.③空间格局演变特征上,各国土空间面积变化呈空间集聚特征,这一特征在2010-2020年相对减弱;各国土空间类型间变化关系以负相关为主,但相关系数绝对值明显降低.④驱动力方面,研究区国土空间面积变化受到自然、人口、经济等因素的共同作用,自然环境变化是基础性条件,人口和经济发展是主要驱动力,政策因素也发挥重要作用.
Analysis of the evolution characteristics and driving forces of the spatial pattern in the Lunan Economic Belt
Exploring the evolution characteristics and driving factors of the spatiotemporal pattern of national land is of great signifi-cance for achieving efficient allocation of national land resources and promoting high-quality development of national land space.Tak-ing the Lunan Economic Zone as the research object,the evolution characteristics of the territorial spatial pattern were analyzed around the temporal and spatial evolution,and the driving factors were explored by using geographic detectors.The results showed that:①From 2000 to 2020,the dynamic changes among different territorial spatial types varied significantly,and the comprehensive dynamic attitude changed from east-west imbalance to global equilibrium.②In terms of spatial distribution characteristics,the overall distribution of land spatial changes in the Lunan Economic Zone was relatively balanced;From 2005 to 2010,various types of land and space were ac-tively transformed.③The spatial pattern evolution characteristics showed a spatial agglomeration of each land area change,and this characteristic was relatively weakened in 2010-2020.The change relationship between each land area type was mainly negative correla-tion,but the absolute value of correlation coefficient was obviously reduced.④As for the driving forces,the spatial area changes in the study area were subject to the combined effects of natural,demographic and economic factors.Natural environmental changes were the basic conditions,population and economic development were the main driving forces,and policy factors also played an important role.

territorial spatialevolutionary characteristicsspatial patternsgeographic detectorsdriving forces

张德玉、刘兆德、于兰军、余静、陈有川

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山东建筑大学建筑城规学院,山东济南 250101

山东省城乡规划设计研究院有限公司,山东济南 250013

烟台市蓬莱区自然资源和规划局,山东烟台 265600

国土空间 演变特征 空间格局 地理探测器 驱动因素

国家自然科学基金项目

51978388

2024

资源开发与市场
四川省自然资源科学研究院

资源开发与市场

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.581
ISSN:1005-8141
年,卷(期):2024.40(2)
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