首页|中国与湄公河五国贸易合作中制造业产业结构协调发展测度研究

中国与湄公河五国贸易合作中制造业产业结构协调发展测度研究

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制造业是实体经济的基础,是构筑国家发展战略优势的重要支撑.在解析制造业产业结构协调发展内涵的基础上,构建贸易合作中制造业协调发展评价指标体系,运用组合赋权模型、协调度模型、标准差等方法测度中国与湄公河五国贸易合作中制造业的综合发展水平、协调发展水平及驱动力.结果表明:①综合发展水平虽有波动变化,但总体呈提升趋势:中缅长期为中等水平,近年晋升为较高水平;中老波动提升,但均为较低水平;中越持续提升,近年稳居高水平;中泰稳居高水平,但近年却波动下降;中柬近年稳居中等水平.②协调发展水平总体呈提升态势,但区域空间分异格局显著:中缅长期为中等协调发展水平,近年晋升为较高协调发展水平;中老提升效果显著,但均为较低协调发展水平;中越、中泰近年稳居高度协调发展水平,但中泰协调发展指数波动下降;中柬波动变化显著,近年稳居中等协调发展水平.③协调发展受引力、压力、推力和阻力的共同影响,出现频率较高、阻碍作用较强的主要为高、中技术产业.
Study on coordinated development of manufacturing industrial structure in trade cooperation between China and Mekong five countries
Manufacturing industry is the foundation of the real economy and an important support for building the strategic advanta-ges of national development.On the basis of analyzing the connotation of coordinated development of manufacturing industrial structure,this paper constructed an evaluation index system of coordinated development of manufacturing industry in trade cooperation.This paper measured and analyzed the comprehensive development level,coordinated development level and driving mechanism of manufacturing industry in trade cooperation between China and Mekong River countries by using combination weighting model,coordination model,and standard deviation,etc.The results showed that:①Although the comprehensive development level fluctuates,it showed an overall up-ward trend:China-Myanmar had been at a medium level in the long run and promoted to a higher level in recent years;Fluctuations increase between China and Laos but all were at a low level;China-Vietnam had continued to improve and had remained at a high lev-el in recent years;China-Thailand had maintained a high level but fluctuated and declined in recent years;China-Cambodia had re-mained at a medium level in recent years.②The overall coordinated development level was on the rise,but the patterns of regional spa-tial differentiation were remarkable:China-Myanmar had a medium coordinated development level in the long run and had promoted to a higher level in recent years;China-Laos saw a remarkable promotion but was at a low coordinated development level;China-Viet-nam and China-Thailand had maintained a high level of coordinated development in recent years but China-Thailand coordinated de-velopment index had experiences a fluctuant decrease;China-Cambodia had experienced significant fluctuations and maintained a moderate level of coordinated development in recent years.③Coordinated development was jointly influenced by attraction,pressure,thrust,and resistance.The resistance of high and medium technology industries was strong.

trade cooperationmanufacturing industrial structurecoordinated developmentdriving force

冯勇、骆华松、渠立权、牛福长

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云南师范大学地理学部,云南昆明 650500

云南师范大学研究生院,云南昆明 650500

江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏徐州 221116

北京师范大学地理科学学部,北京 100875

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贸易合作 制造业 产业结构 协调发展 驱动力

国家社会科学基金北京师范大学博士研究生基金

23BGJ072BNUXKJC2204

2024

资源开发与市场
四川省自然资源科学研究院

资源开发与市场

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.581
ISSN:1005-8141
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)
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