首页|哈长城市群人口与建设用地协调度时空演变特征及影响因素研究

哈长城市群人口与建设用地协调度时空演变特征及影响因素研究

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基于人口普查数据和土地利用数据,运用冷热点分析模型、离差系数和耦合协调模型,分析2000-2020年哈长城市群人口与建设用地的时空演变特征,然后分析人口与建设用地的规模变化协调和系统耦合协调特征,并划分类型,最后利用地理加权模型分析协调度变化的影响因素.结果发现:①哈长城市群各县(市)均有不同程度的人口流失,人口与建设用地发展不同步,总体呈"人减地增"的发展趋势;②研究期内,规模变化协调度持续下降,以中度失调为主.耦合协调度呈小幅上升趋势,以中度失调为主,哈长城市群东南部协调度高于西北部,地级市市辖区协调度高于县(市);③人均GDP、第三产业产值比重、人均财政支出对哈长城市群人口与建设用地协调变化具有显著影响.
Spatio-temporal evolution of coordinated development of population and construction land in Harbin-Changchun Urban Agglomeration
Based on the census data and land use data,this paper analyzed the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of popu-lation and construction land in the Harbin-Chang Urban Agglomeration from 2000 to 2020 by using the cold-hot spot analysis,disper-sion coefficient and coupling coordination model.On this basis,from the three perspectives of external scale change coordination,inter-nal quality coordination and internal and external combination coordination,this paper analyzed the spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics and types of the population-construction land coordinated development in Harbin-Chang Urban Agglomeration.The re-sults showed that:①The population development of Harbin-Chang Urban Agglomeration was not synchronized with the development of construction land.The overall development trend was"population reduction and land increase",and each county(city)had different degrees of population loss.②Both external coordination and internal coordination showed a downward trend,and both were dominated by low coordination.Internal coordination was better than external coordination.Internal and external combination coordination mode was mainly external low degree coordination-internal low degree coordination mode.③Population loss and population aging were the main reasons for the imbalance between population and construction land in Harbin-Chang Urban Agglomeration.

populationconstruction landcoordinated developmentspatio-temporal evolution

田伟民、赵映慧、王子彤、葛子澳

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东北农业大学公共管理与法学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150030

人口 建设用地 协调发展 时空演变

黑龙江省哲学社会科学项目

22JLH065

2024

资源开发与市场
四川省自然资源科学研究院

资源开发与市场

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.581
ISSN:1005-8141
年,卷(期):2024.40(5)
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