首页|山东省农业社会化服务水平时空演化及影响因素研究

山东省农业社会化服务水平时空演化及影响因素研究

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农业社会化服务是保障中国农业现代化及农业强国建设的重要举措.采用熵值法与探索性空间数据分析法,探讨山东省及其16地级市2011-2021年农业社会化服务水平的时空演变特征,并引入障碍度模型与空间计量模型探究内部制约与外部驱动因素.结果发现:①在时间上,山东省农业社会化服务水平总体呈波动上升趋势,但存在农业生产资料服务、农产品流通服务水平不足的短板;②在空间上,山东省农业社会化服务水平存在明显的空间集聚特征.其中,服务高水平集聚于鲁东地区,而低水平则集聚于鲁南地区;③内部制约上,山东省农业社会化服务受到阻碍作用最大的5个因子依次为农业保险深度、农药供应量、农业供电水平、农业贷款深度以及农业科技服务投入水平;④外部环境驱动上,城镇化水平、创新水平与工业化水平对山东省农业社会化服务有显著促进作用,而人力资本质量为抑制作用.
Research on the spatio-temporal evolution of agricultural socialized service level and its influencing factors in Shandong Province
Agricultural socialization service is an important measure to ensure agricultural modernization and the construction of a strong agricultural country in China.This paper used entropy method and exploratory spatial data analysis method to explore the spatio-temporal evolution of agricultural socialization service level in Shandong Province and its 16 cities from 2011 to 2021,exploring the in-ternal constraints and external driving factors by using obstacle degree model and spatial econometric model.The results showed that:①The agricultural socialization service in Shandong Province showed ascending trend by time series,but there were lower service level in agricultural production means and agricultural product circulation.②While in terms of space,it showed spatio-temporal non-equilib-rium and spatial agglomeration.The high level of service was concentrated in eastern Shandong,while the low level was concentrated in southern Shandong.③For internal constraints,there were five factors that hinder the agricultural socialization service in Shandong Prov-ince,including the depth of agricultural insurance,the supply of pesticides,the supply of agricultural power,the depth of agricultural loans and the expenditure for agricultural science and technology service.④For external environment,the level of urbanization,innova-tion and industrialization had a significant role in promoting the agricultural socialization service in Shandong Province,while the quality of human capital stifles its development.

agricultural socialized servicesspatiotemporal evolutioninfluencing factorsspatial econometric model

吴艾旻、公衍照、曹凤彤

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山东理工大学经济学院,山东淄博 255000

农业社会化服务 时空演化 影响因素 空间计量模型

山东省社会科学规划研究项目

21CJJJ13

2024

资源开发与市场
四川省自然资源科学研究院

资源开发与市场

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.581
ISSN:1005-8141
年,卷(期):2024.40(5)
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