新冠肺炎疫情扰动下经济韧性时空特征与影响因素分析——以长三角地区为例
Spatio-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of economic resilience under the COVID-19 pandemic——A case study of the Yangtze River Delta region
王子暄 1谭俊涛2
作者信息
- 1. 江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏徐州 221116
- 2. 江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏徐州 221116;江苏师范大学城乡融合发展研究院,江苏徐州 221116
- 折叠
摘要
新冠肺炎疫情对中国的经济、社会发展产生了巨大影响,考察长三角地区在应对重大公共卫生事件时的经济韧性水平变化,有利于中国城市群疫后经济恢复与高质量发展.从抵抗性和恢复性两个过程维度,采用多指标核心变量法探究了长三角地区在疫情冲击下的区域经济韧性时空演化特征,并运用地理探测器识别了关键影响因素.研究表明:①长三角地区整体经济韧性呈先升后降的趋势,属于高抵抗性—高恢复性类型,区域经济韧性整体水平较高,其中GDP经济韧性表现最为稳定;②区域经济韧性动态演变的省域差异显著,呈现出一定的集聚性分布特征,东西区域发展不平衡;恢复阶段的低韧性水平城市数量大幅增多,城市间韧性水平差距缩小;③产业结构、创新转型、政府管理、金融支撑是经济韧性提高的主要驱动因素,疫情扰动带来的负面影响较为明显.
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has a huge impact on China's economic and social development.Examining the changes in the level of economic resilience of the Yangtze River Delta region in response to a major public health event is beneficial for the post ep-idemic economic recovery and high-quality development of Chinese urban agglomerations.This paper explored the spatio-temporal e-volution characteristics of regional economic resilience in the Yangtze River Delta region,using the multi-indicator core variable meth-od to under the impact of the epidemic from two process dimensions of resistance and recovery,and identified the key influencing factors by using the geographical detector model.The results showed that:①The overall economic resilience of the Yangtze River Delta region showed a trend of rising first and then falling,belonging to the type of high resistance-high recovery.The overall level of regional eco-nomic resilience was high,in which the GDP economic resilience performance was the most stable.②The provincial differences in the dynamic evolution of the regional economic resilience were significant,indicating the clustering distribution characteristics with the de-velopment of east-west regions being unbalanced.The number of cities with low toughness level in the recovery stage had increased significantly.The gap in toughness level between cities had narrowed.③Industrial structure,innovation and transformation,government management,and financial support were the main driving factors for the improvement of economic resilience.The negative impacts in-duced by the pandemic disturbance were more prominent.
关键词
韧性/区域经济韧性/新冠肺炎疫情/长三角地区Key words
resilience/regional economic resilience/COVID-19/the Yangtze River Delta region引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(42201177)
教育部人文社会科学基金项目(20YJCZH143)
江苏高校哲学社会科学研究项目(2020SJA1024)
江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)
广东省教育科学规划课题(高等教育专项)项目(2023GXJK135)
江苏师范大学研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(2024XKT0151)
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据