首页|中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展的动态响应及协调效应研究

中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展的动态响应及协调效应研究

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在当前国家提出高质量发展的战略背景下,文化产业成为推动经济高质量发展的重要资源之一.以中国30个省区市为研究对象,采用熵权法测度2012-2021年中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展水平,继而采用PVAR模型探讨了二者的互动响应关系,最后利用修正的耦合协调模型和马尔科夫链深入剖析了二者协同发展的时空演变特征.结果表明:①中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展综合水平稳步上升,经济高质量发展整体水平高于文化产业,年均增长速度低于文化产业.中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展均呈现较为显著的空间异质性,整体表现为"由西向东"梯度式递增的格局;②中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展之间存在双向互动关系,短期内二者受自身发展的影响较大,长期来看彼此间的交互影响不断增强.前期文化产业与经济高质量发展主要依靠自身发展,后期经济高质量发展对文化产业的作用不断增强,文化产业对经济高质量发展的影响稳定在有限区间;③中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展的总体耦合协调发展水平较低.耦合协调度在空间层面呈现出"东南高,西北低"的空间分异格局;④中国省域文化产业与经济高质量发展的耦合协调度维持原有状态的概率最大,存在"马太效应"和"俱乐部收敛"现象,难以实现跨越等级式的演化.
Research on the dynamic response and coordination effect of China's provincial cultural industry and high-quality economic development
Under the strategic background of high-quality development proposed by the Chinese government,cultural industry has become one of the important resources to promote high-quality economic development.Taking 30 provinces,regions,and cities in Chi-na as the research objects,this paper measured the development level of cultural industry and high-quality economic development from 2012 to 2021 through the entropy weight method,then used the PVAR model to explore their interactive response relationship,and final-ly the modified coupling coordination model and Markov chain were used to deeply analyze their spatio-temporal evolution characteris-tics of the collaborative development.The results showed that:①The comprehensive level of China's provincial cultural industry and high-quality economic development had increased steadily,with the overall level of high-quality economic developent higher than that of the cultural industry,and the average annual growth rate lower than that of the cultural industry.The cultural industry and high-quality economic development in China's provinces exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity,with an overall pattern of increasing gradi-ent from west to east.②There was a two-way interaction relationship between the cultural industry and high-quality economic devel-opment.In the short term,they were greatly affected by the their own development,and in the long term,the interactive influence be-tween each other was constantly strengthened.In the early stage,the cultural industry and high-quality economic development mainly relied on their own development.In the later stage,the role of high-quality economic development in the cultural industry continued to strengthen,and the impact of the cultural industry on high-quallity economic development remained stable within a limited range.③The overall coupling coordination level between the cultural industry and high-quality economic development was relatively low,pres-enting the spatial distribution patterm of"high in the southeast and low in the northwest".④The probability of maintaining the original state of coupling and coordination between China's provincial cultural industry and high-quality economic development was the high-est,and there were phenomena of"Matthew effect"and"culb convergence",making it difficult to achieve a hierarchical evolution.

cultural industryhigh-quality economic developmentPVAR modelcoupling coordination degreeMarkov chaindy-namic response

苏晓智、周克勤

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西安外国语大学旅游学院人文地理研究所,陕西西安 710128

文化产业 经济高质量发展 PVAR模型 耦合协调度 马尔科夫链 动态效应

国家社会科学基金项目

19BSS036

2024

资源开发与市场
四川省自然资源科学研究院

资源开发与市场

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.581
ISSN:1005-8141
年,卷(期):2024.40(8)
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