首页|农村居民点与农村人口脱钩关系的演化过程与驱动效应

农村居民点与农村人口脱钩关系的演化过程与驱动效应

扫码查看
[目的]本文旨在系统研究农村居民点与农村人口脱钩关系的演化过程及其驱动效应,以期为农村土地资源的优化配置提供指导。[方法]基于脱钩理论与人地关系理论,分析了农村居民点"人减地增"现象的演化过程,并以湖北省为例,利用2000-2020年多期遥感影像与社会统计数据,结合Tapio脱钩模型和LMDI分解法开展了实证研究。[结果]①从城镇化发展初期、城镇化快速发展期、城镇化发展深化期至乡村振兴期,农村居民点与农村人口关系依次呈现出增长负脱钩、强负脱钩、衰退负脱钩及强负脱钩的演变过程。②近20年来,湖北省整体呈现"人减地增"态势,农村居民点用地增长了 1。71万hm2,同期农村常住人口减少了 1375。07万人,农村人地关系不协调;湖北省大部分地区农村居民点用地与农村人口长期处于强负脱钩状态,但2015-2020年的农村人地关系略优于2000-2015年,鄂东地区的农村人地关系优于鄂西地区。③土地利用集约度效应与城镇化效应是农村居民点扩张的主导因素,而城乡人口结构效应与区域总人口效应则是主要的阻碍因素;且各因素在区域上的贡献度差异显著。[结论]缓解农村"人减地增"现象的关键在于优化城乡人口结构,并提升农村居民点用地集约利用水平。
Evolutionary process and driving effect of the decoupling relationship between rural residential areas and rural population
[Objective]The purpose of this study was to systematically study the evolution process and driving effects of the decoupling relationship between rural settlements and rural population.The research results were expected to provide guidance for the optimal allocation of rural land resources.[Methods]Based on the theory of decoupling and the theory of human-land relationship,the evolutionary mechanism of the phenomenon of"population reduction and land increase"in rural areas was conducted.Taking Hubei Province as an example,an empirical study was carried out using multiple remote sensing images and social statistical data from 2000 to 2020,combined with the Tapio decoupling model and LMDIdecomposition method.[Results](1)Rural settlements and population showed negative decoupling of growth,strong negative decoupling,negative decoupling of recession,and strong negative decoupling from the early stage of urbanization,rapid urbanization development,deepening urbanization development,and rural revitalization.(2)In the past 20 years,Hubei Province showed an overall trend of"decreasing population and increasing residential land",with an increase of 1.71 ×104 hm2 in rural residential land and a decrease of 13.75 million people in rural permanent residents.The relationship between rural population and residential land was not coordinated.Most rural areas in Hubei Province have been in a strong negative decoupling state between rural residential land and population for a long time.The relationship between rural population and rural residential land in 2015-2020 was slightly better than that in 2000-2015.Moreover,the relationship between rural population and rural residential land in eastern Hubei was better than that in western Hubei region.(3)The intensity effect of land use and urbanization effect were the dominant factors for the expansion of rural settlements in Hubei Province,while the urban-rural population structure effect and the regional total population effect were the main hindrance factors.The contribution of each factor varied significantly across regions in Hubei Province.[Conclusion]The key to alleviating the simultaneous population reduction and residential land increase in rural areas lies in optimizing the urban and rural population structure and enhancing the intensive utilization of rural residential land.

rural settlementrural populationdecoupling relationshipevolution processdriving effectHubei Province

何利杰、黄炉斌、李世勇、柯新利、李萍、何培培

展开 >

华中农业大学公共管理学院,武汉 430000

华北水利水电大学测绘与地理信息学院,郑州 450045

农村居民点 农村人口 脱钩关系 演变过程 驱动效应 湖北省

国家社会科学基金重大项目国家自然科学基金

23&ZD1134220103142371278

2024

资源科学
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国自然资源学会

资源科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.408
ISSN:1007-7588
年,卷(期):2024.46(4)
  • 34