首页|基于人口收缩特征的国土空间类型识别及优化——以四川省为例

基于人口收缩特征的国土空间类型识别及优化——以四川省为例

扫码查看
[目的]识别不同人口收缩特征下的国土空间功能变化,研究应对人口收缩挑战的国土空间优化策略,可为促进国土空间高效利用和可持续发展提供科学参考。[方法]整合四川省县域2010-2020年多源数据,测度人口数量和结构双重收缩及国土空间功能变化,并利用人地弹性系数划分基于人口收缩特征的国土空间类型区。[结果]①人地供需关系是驱动国土空间功能形成与发展的主要动因,人口收缩通过影响需求从而驱动农业空间经营模式、城镇空间组织模式和生态空间管理模式变化,进而重塑国土空间功能格局。②四川省县域人口收缩具有显著的空间异质性和集聚特征,69。4%的县域呈现人口收缩态势,主要分布在成都中心区外围、川南、川东北及攀西的大部分县域,人口数量和结构同时收缩的双收缩型是其主要类型。③四川省县域国土空间功能整体呈东南强、西北弱的分布格局,2010-2020年,74。9%的县域功能呈增强趋势。④基于人口收缩特征,四川县域国土空间可划分为增长型、粗放型、滞后型、集约型、衰退型和衰落型,不同类型区面临的人口挑战和国土空间功能不同,优化方向各异。[结论]将人口老龄化纳入人口收缩测度指标体系有助于更加全面认识区域人口收缩特征。四川省县级尺度人口收缩趋势明显,未来需结合国土空间功能变化特征,从国土空间规划端、整治端和政策端优化农业、城镇和生态空间,以适应不同人口收缩特征下的空间发展需求。
Identification and optimization of territorial spatial types based on population shrinking characteristics:A case study of Sichuan Province
[Objective]To promote efficient utilization and sustainable development of territorial space,this study identified changes in territorial space functions considering different population shrinking characteristics,aiming to explore territorial space optimization strategies in response to population shrinking challenges.[Methods]By integrating multi-source data from county units in Sichuan Province from 2010 to 2020,this study measured population shrinking and territorial space function changes,and delineated territorial space zones based on population shrinking characteristics using elasticity coefficient.[Results](1)The relationship between population demand and territorial space supply is the main driver of territorial space function formation and development.Population shrinking affects demand,driving changes in agricultural space management,urban space organization,and ecological space management patterns,thereby reshaping the pattern of territorial space functions.(2)Population shrinking in counties of Sichuan Province exhibited significant spatial differences and agglomeration characteristics,with 69.4%of the counties experiencing population shrinkage.This phenomenon was mainly concentrated in peripheral counties outside the central Chengdu area,as well as in most counties in the southern,northeastern,and southwestern parts of Sichuan.The simultaneous change of population quantity and structure,termed"dual shrinking",was the main type observed.(3)The overall distribution of territorial space functions in counties of Sichuan showed a high in southeast and low in northwest spatial pattern.From 2010 to 2020,74.9%of the counties experienced an enhancement in territorial space function.(4)Based on population shrinking characteristics,Sichuan's county territorial space was divided into growth-oriented,extensive,lagging,intensive,declining,and deteriorating types.Territorial space optimization directions were proposed according to the population challenges and territorial space function changes faced by different types of areas.[Conclusion]Incorporating population aging into the measurement system for population shrinking provides a more comprehensive understanding of regional population shrinking characteristics.Future territorial space optimization at the county level in Sichuan Province should integrate population shrinking characteristics and changes in territorial space functions.This optimization should involve territorial space planning,comprehensive land consolidation,and policy support,optimizing agricultural,urban,and ecological spaces to meet the spatial development needs under varying population shrinking characteristics.

population shrinkingterritorial space functionsspace optimizationelasticity coefficientcountySichuan Province

罗秀丽、金晓斌、刘笑杰、洪步庭、王世磊、周寅康

展开 >

南京大学地理与海洋科学学院,南京 210023

自然资源部海岸带开发与保护重点实验室,南京 210023

江苏省国土整治与生态修复工程研究中心,南京 210023

人口收缩 国土空间功能 空间优化 弹性系数 县域 四川省

国家自然科学基金自然资源部海岸带开发与保护重点实验室开放基金

422712592021CZEPK07

2024

资源科学
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国自然资源学会

资源科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.408
ISSN:1007-7588
年,卷(期):2024.46(6)