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能源转型对城乡能源公平的影响机制

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[目的]作为能源-环境-经济-社会系统的耦合协调路径,能源转型已成为城乡关系重塑的关键机遇与挑战。探究能源转型对城乡能源公平的影响机制,对于推动城乡协调发展具有重要意义。[方法]基于中国2005-2020年能源系统统计数据,构建了宏观能源转型和城乡能源公平研究框架,应用结构方程模型,分析了能源转型对城乡能源公平的多维影响机制。[结果]①2005-2020年,中国能源转型水平明显提升,但城乡间能源可负担性、可获得性和可持续性差异较大,城乡能源公平仍将面临较大挑战。②能源转型的直接效应对城乡能源公平具有负向影响,但能源效率提升与新能源产业发展的间接影响形成了遮掩效应,3条作用路径共同促进城乡间能源公平水平提升。③随着能源转型程度加深,能源转型整体对城乡能源公平的正向影响显著增强。能源系统技术创新为推动城乡能源公平的关键路径,新能源产业发展对北方地区城乡协调发展作用明显。[结论]能源转型为普惠、平等、可持续的城乡能源系统构建提供了关键机遇,建议从完善基础设施布局、增强技术创新、推动新能源产业发展等方面助力中国城乡能源公平水平提升。
Influence mechanism of energy transition on urban-rural energy equity
[Objective]As a coupling and coordination pathway within complex social-ecological networks spanning energy,economic,environmental,and societal domains,energy transition presents important opportunities and challenges in reshaping urban-rural relationships.Currently,China's energy landscape is undergoing a period of rapid transition to modern and clean energy system.These transitions may profoundly influence the differences in energy access and affordability between rural and urban areas.Therefore,investigating the potential impacts of energy transition on urban-rural inequality and their mechanism has great significance for promoting the coordinated development between urban and rural areas.[Methods]Based on available data from 2005 to 2020,this study tentatively developed an analytical framework to explore macro-level energy transition dynamics and potential linkages to urban-rural energy equity disparities over time.By applying the structural equation modeling technique,we further investigated the multidimensional influence pathways relating energy transition to urban-rural equity indicators nationally.[Results](1)During 2005-2020,China made substantive progress in transitioning its energy systems,but disparities in energy affordability,accessibility,and sustainability between urban and rural areas continued to be considerable.Energy equity between urban and rural regions remains a significant challenge.(2)The direct effects of energy transition on urban-rural energy equity exacerbated urban-rural inequality,while the indirect impacts from improved energy efficiency and renewable energy consumption formed a masking effect that collectively promoted energy equity between urban and rural areas.(3)As energy transition progresses,the overall positive impact of energy transition on energy equity between urban and rural areas has significantly increased.For example,technological innovation within the energy sector played a pivotal role in advancing urban-rural energy equity,and the development of new energy industries in northern China has notably fostered urban-rural coordinated development.[Conclusion]Energy transition presents a critical opportunity for developing an inclusive,equitable,and sustainable urban-rural energy system.It is recommended to enhance infrastructure planning,strengthen technological innovation,and promote the development of new energy industries to advance energy equity across China's urban and rural areas.

energy transitionenergy equityurban-rural coordinationinfluence mechanismsocial impact

党牛、陈达荃、王强、黄雪婷

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福建师范大学地理科学学院,福州 350117

湿润亚热带山地生态国家重点实验室培育基地,福州 350007

能源转型 能源公平 城乡协调 影响机制 社会效应

国家自然科学基金项目福建省科学技术厅公益类竞争性项目教育部人文社会科学研究项目

424711912023R103921YJC-ZH006

2024

资源科学
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国自然资源学会

资源科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.408
ISSN:1007-7588
年,卷(期):2024.46(9)