首页|克拉玛依市大气颗粒物短期暴露对呼吸系统疾病死亡的关联性研究

克拉玛依市大气颗粒物短期暴露对呼吸系统疾病死亡的关联性研究

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目的 分析克拉玛依市大气颗粒物短期暴露与居民呼吸系统疾病死亡的关联.方法 收集2014-2019年克拉玛依市大气颗粒物日均浓度资料、呼吸系统疾病死亡资料,运用泊松广义线性模型,并按照性别、年龄段分层,研究大气中细颗粒物(fine particulate matter,PM2.5)和可吸入颗粒物(inhalable particles,PM10)短期暴露对呼吸系统疾病死亡的影响.结果 从整体来看,大气颗粒物(PM2.5、PM10)对疾病死亡关联性在滞后Lag 6、Lag 0时最大,分别为4.77%(95%CI:2.27~7.26)、2.79%(95%CI:1.35~4.24);从性别分组来看,PM2.5、PM10对男性关联性在滞后Lag6、Lag0时最大,分别为1.42%(95%CI:1.02%~1.82%),4.83%(95%CI:1.70%~7.97%),对女性关联性在滞后 Lag 0、Lag 4 时最大,分别为 6.37%(95%CI:2.42%~10.32%)、3.47%(95%CI:1.19%~5.74%);从年龄分组来看,PM2.5、PM10对<60岁年龄段人群关联性均在滞后Lag 6时最大,分别为8.27%(95%CI:-0.86%~17.41%)、4.17%(95%CI:-1.04%~9.38%),对≥60 岁人群关联性在滞后 Lag 4、Lag 0 时最大,分别为2.85%(95%CI:1.36%~4.34%)、4.67%(95%CI:2.08%~7.25%).结论 PM2.5、PM10的短期暴露对克拉玛依市居民呼吸系统疾病死亡具有关联性,并存在滞后影响,对女性的疾病死亡关联性较大.PM2.5对<60岁人群的死亡风险滞后时间较长,PM10对≥60岁人群死亡风险影响较大.
Study on correlation between short-term exposure to atmospheric particulates and death from respiratory disease in Karamay
Objective To analyze the relationship between short-term exposure to atmospheric particulates and death from respiratory disease in Karamay.Methods The data on daily mean concentrations of atmospheric particulate matter and mortality from respiratory diseases in Karamay from 2014 to 2019 were collected.The Poisson generalized linear model was used,and the data were stratified by sex and age,to investigate the effect of short-term exposure to fine particulate matter(PM2.5)and inhalable particles(PM10)on mortality from respiratory disease.Results Overall,the association between atmospheric particulate matter(PM2.5,PM10)and disease mortality was the highest when Lag6 and Lag0,with 4.77%(95%CI:2.27-7.26)and 2.79%(95%CI:1.35-4.24),respectively.According to gender group,PM2.5 and PM10 had the highest correlation in males when Lag6 and Lag0,with 1.42%(95%CI:1.02%-1.82%),4.83%(95%CI:1.70%-7.97%)respectively,while they had the highest correlation in females when Lag0 and Lag4,with 6.37%(95%CI:2.42%-10.32%)and 3.47%(95%CI:1.19%-5.74%)respectively.According to age groups,PM2.5 and PM10 had the highest correlation in the age group<60 years old when Lag6,with 8.27%(95%CI:-0.86%-17.41%)and 4.17%(95%CI:-1.04%-9.38%)respectively,while they had the highest correlation in the age group ≥60 years old when Lag4 and Lag0,with 2.85%(95%CI:1.36%-4.34%)and 4.67%(95%CI:2.08%-7.25%)respectively.Conclusions The short-term exposure of PM2.5 and PM10 is associated with the death of respiratory disease among residents in Karamay City,and has a lagging effect,which has a greater association with the death of women.PM2.5 has a longer lag time in the risk of death for people aged<60 years old,and PM10 has a significant impact on the risk of death among people aged≥60 years old.

Atmospheric particulate matterRespiratory diseasePoisson generalized linear model

陈佩弟、刘晓航、郑帅印、李俊豪、黄芸、刘健

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新疆第二医学院公共卫生学院,新疆克拉玛依 834000

新疆第二医学院药学院,新疆克拉玛依 834000

克拉玛依市疾病预防控制中心慢性病预防与控制科,新疆克拉玛依 834000

大气颗粒物 呼吸系统疾病 泊松广义线性模型

新疆维吾尔自治区高校科研计划项目新疆第二医学院青年科学基金项目

XJEDU2022P147QK202211

2024

职业与健康
天津市疾病预防控制中心 中华预防医学会

职业与健康

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.737
ISSN:1004-1257
年,卷(期):2024.40(12)