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利用标准化降雨指数对伊朗法尔斯省干旱危害的GIS分析

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干旱是广泛影响经济和环境的主要自然灾害之一.因此,有必要采用诸如标准化降雨指数(SPI)等指标来研究干旱的影响,以辨析决策和规划的现实条件.本研究的目的是利用SPI指数分析伊朗南部法尔斯省的干旱空间格局.本文根据法尔斯省 42 个站点的数据,对 1990-2019 年间的干旱灾害格局进行了评价.评价模型中使用的干旱危害标准包括:该时期的最严重干旱程度、干旱趋势和连续干旱年的最大数量,最终的干旱灾害图是通过计算干旱强度、连续性和趋势三个指标的算术平均值获得的.三个指标的灾害图和最终灾害脆弱图采用反距离加权法(IDW)插值制图,分为无、轻度、中度、重度和极重度5个危害等级.最终的干旱脆弱性图显示,在研究区南部观察到的中度灾害区域占研究区36%,比在北部和中部观察到的严重和非常严重灾害区(占研究区64%)分布范围更小.
GIS Analysis for Hazard Assessment of Drought Using SPI in Fars Province,Iran
Drought is one of the main natural hazards affecting large areas'economies and the environment.Therefore,it is necessary to study the different aspects of the drought on the land with several indices like the Standard Precipitation Index(SPI)index which can clarify the existing conditions for decisions and planning.The objective of this study was to analyze the spatial pattern of drought by SPI index in the Fars Province located in the Southern part of Iran.In this paper,according to the data from 42 stations in Fars Province,during 1990-2019,the pattern of drought hazard is evaluated.In the presented model,several drought hazard criteria were used including the maximum severity of drought in the period,the trend of drought,and the maximum number of sequential arid years.The final drought risk map was obtained with an arithmetic mean of 3 criteria:intensity,continuity,and trend.The three criteria maps and final hazard map were interpolated by the Inverse Distance Weightage(IDW)method and classified into five hazard classes none,slight,moderate,severe,and very severe.The obtained maps showed that the intensity,trend,and continuity of drought increases from the southeast to the northwest.The final vulnera-bility map shows that moderate hazard areas(36%of the region)observed in the Southern parts of the region are less widespread than areas under severe and very severe hazard(64%of the region)observed in the northern and central parts of the region.Preparation of these hazard maps may prove to be helpful for regional managers,and policymakers for environmental and agricultural strategies,not only in Iran but also in other countries facing this hazard.

droughtSPIGIShazard mapIDWFars Province

MASOUDI Masoud、TAHERI Zahra

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伊朗设拉子大学农业学院自然资源与环境工程系,设拉子 13131-71441,伊朗

伊朗德黑兰大学自然资源学院环境科学系,德黑兰 31587-77871,伊朗

干旱 标准化降雨指数 GIS 灾害地图 反距离加权法 法尔斯省

2024

资源与生态学报(英文版)
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

资源与生态学报(英文版)

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.388
ISSN:1674-764X
年,卷(期):2024.15(2)
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