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县域社会冲突演变态势及风险源新动向分析

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在中国式现代化进程中,县域社会结构呈现出互嵌性变迁和发展格局,从结构主义的视角看,这种格局构成了县域社会冲突态势演变和风险源路径转换的社会基础和逻辑前提.其中,人、物、环境、管理既是构成和维系社会发展的基本要素,也是所有风险源流变的逻辑要件.进入新时代,这四大要素伴随着社会结构的变迁也产生了新的特质和属性,从而使得县域社会冲突的演变态势及风险源呈现出十大层叠性累加与转换趋势,分别是:自然性风险到人为性风险、功能性风险到发展性风险、事件性风险到制度性风险、现实性风险到非现实性风险、单一性风险到多样性风险、普遍性风险到特殊性风险、确定性风险到不确定性风险、非结构性风险到结构性风险、对称性风险到非对称性风险、非协作性风险到协作性风险.
Analysis on the Evolutionary Situation and Risk Sources'New Developing Trends of County Social Conflict
In the process of Chinese path to modernization,the social structure of the county region presents an embedded change and development pattern.From the perspective of structuralism,this pattern constitutes the social basis and logical premise for the evolution of the social conflict situation and the transformation of the risk source path in the county region.Among them,people,things,environment,and management are not only the basic elements that constitute and maintain social development,but also the logical elements for the flow of all risk sources.In the new era,these four major elements have produced new characteristics and attributes of the county-level social conflicts'risk sources just by the social structure change,which resulting in ten stacked accumulation and transformation trends in the evolution trend and risk,that is:natural risk to human risk,functional risk to developmental risk,event risk to institutional risk,reality risk to non reality risk,singularity risk to diversity risk,universality risk to particularity risk,certainty risk to uncertainty risk,non structural risk to structural risk,symmetry risk to asymmetric risk,non collaborative risk to collaborative risk.

county level social conflictsevolutionary trendsrisk sourcesnew trends

胡锐军

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同济大学政治与国际关系学院(上海市,200092)

县域社会冲突 演变态势 风险源 新动向

国家社会科学基金一般项目

19BZZ065

2024

政治学研究
中国社会科学院 政治学研究所

政治学研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.461
ISSN:1000-3355
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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