The Fallibility and Extensibility of Policy:a Framework for Explaining Why Policy Experiments Evolve into Bonsai
As a decision-making method,policy experimentation has the potential to achieve significant reforms while facing the risk of limited extensibility.The transformation of pilot experiences into bonsai-like outcomes aligns with the concerns of the central government and generates performance signals that capture higher-level attention,but it lacks sufficient extensibility.Within the framework of"fallibility-extensibility,"this issue primarily arises from the absence of policy fallibility during the pilot process.The notion of an"inerrable"logic in policy experimentation directly leads to a project-oriented system instead of a pilot system,prompting local governments to emphasize their unique characteristics for certification as pilots by superiors.However,transferring these non-replicable experiences to non-pilot areas inevitably results in experience mismatch and institutional stagnation.