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中国与世界经济(英文版)
中国与世界经济(英文版)

余永定

双月刊

1671-2234

010-85195785

100732

北京建国门内大街5号

中国与世界经济(英文版)/Journal China & World EconomySCI
正式出版
收录年代

    Economic Development and Social Integration of Migrants in China

    Guangjun ShenChuanchuan Zhang
    1-20页
    查看更多>>摘要:Migrants often face challenges in social integration.Using a nationally representative sample of migrant workers and employing the epidemiological approach,this paper examines the determinants of social integration.It finds that,conditional on a set of individual features,the migrants from less-developed provinces have greater difficulty in integrating into local communities.These results still demonstrate robustness across alternative variables,samples,and various specifications.Mechanism analysis shows that educational and employment factors account for over 40 percent of the variance in social integration levels,suggesting their significant influence.Additionally,the analysis suggests that native bias against migrants,along with misunderstandings between them,may account for part of the remaining variation in social integration levels.Importantly,the ability to speak local dialects has been identified as a crucial factor that can significantly improve migrants'subjective experience of integrating into a new city.By identifying one specific cause of social integration,this paper provides information to individuals and governments and assists them to improve social integration.

    Does City Shape Affect China's Economic Development?

    Wei ZouFei Yang
    21-56页
    查看更多>>摘要:This paper constructs a general equilibrium spatial urban model and measures city geometric compactness using the patch-shape index based on evidence from satellite imagery and basic vector maps of China.It adopts the ordinary least squares and instrumental variable approaches to examine the effect of city shape on the urban development of279 Chinese cities at or above the prefecture level.The empirical results show that there was a significant negative correlation between city shape and economic outcomes.Specifically,every 1 percentage point increase in the patch-shape index led to a decrease in city-scale GDP by 0.009 percent,housing prices by 0.044 percent,and wages by 0.024 percent.More compact urban layouts attracted an inflow of households and firms,stimulated city economic growth,and were associated with increased housing prices and wage rates.The paper considers the cities'initial conditions,trends in population changes(expanding,shrinking,and stagnant cities),and geographic factors,andfinds that the results are robust.An array of policy implications can be drawn from the research.

    Whether to Abolish or Introduce Dual Regulation as Trade and Environmental Policy?

    Yoshihiro Hamaguchi
    57-95页
    查看更多>>摘要:China,which has already introduced an environmental tax in an effort to decarbonize,has recently begun emissions trading and is using two environmental policies in tandem,but there are concerns about the impact on growth and trade.Trade and environmental policies affect firms'entry and exit,resulting in changes in aggregate productivity and pollution emissions.This study compares the impacts of single regulation and dual regulation on welfare,using a research-and-development based growth model with heterogeneous firms.Under single regulation,the cleansing effect of trade liberalization could be undermined.Under dual regulation,trade liberalization decreases pollution and improves average productivity whereas decreasing total permits reduces pollution.From the perspective of improving welfare it is desirable to choose dual regulation because trade liberalization can reduce total pollution emissions via the cleansing effect of trade liberalization.

    Effects of the Resident Basic Medical Insurance Reform on Household Consumption in China

    Shuheng YuXinxin MaPeng Zhan
    96-129页
    查看更多>>摘要:This paper investigates the causal relationship between the Urban and Rural Resident Basic Medical Insurance(URRBMI)reform and household consumption in urban China using data from the Chinese Household Income Project survey and employing combination of the propensity score matching and difference-in-differences methods.The results yield three conclusions.First,the reform affected both the amount and share of household consumption.Specifically,the reform led to an increase in total household consumption,encompassing both medical and nonmedical expenditures.Among these,the proportion of medical consumption increased,while the proportion of nonmedical consumption reduced.Second,the impact of the URRBMI reform varied across consumption categories within nonmedical expenditure.Specifically,consumption for education and entertainment industries are positively impacted by the URRBMI reform in terms of both quantity and proportion.Third,low-income households benefit more from the URRBMI reform compared to middle-and high-income households.The main channels through which the URRBMI reform affects household consumption were the price effect and the crowding out effect on precautionary savings.

    Evolution of China's Role in the Structure of Global Carbon Emission Transfers:An Empirical Analysis Based on Network Governance

    Bingbing ZhangLelan KongZhehong XuChuanwang Sun...
    130-166页
    查看更多>>摘要:This paper reconsiders the roles of China and some developed countries in the network of carbon emission transfers via international trade in value added from a new perspective of network governance.Network search intensity(NSI)and the extended gravity model are used with cross-country panel data to analyze the mechanism of China's engagement in network governance of carbon emission transfers.The results show that from 2000 to 2009,China was a net exporter of carbon emissions,even though it shifted from the semi-periphery to the core in the network of carbon emissions embodied in imports.Meanwhile,NSI had a significant positive impact on carbon emissions embodied in exports.Given China's important role in the global production network and division of labor NSI may also affect industrial structure and the quality of the ecological environment to a large extent.This study analyses the network governance mechanism of China's participation in global carbon transfers.The results suggest that the technical complexity of export products and product heterogeneity do not change the positive impact of NSI on carbon emissions.

    Industrial Policy,Product Switching,and Export Performance

    Jiemiao DongZhuangxiong YuXunpeng ShiYang Yang...
    167-196页
    查看更多>>摘要:Industrial policy can promote economic growth and industrial upgrading by encouraging enterprises to adopt product switching.By utilizing comprehensive industrial policies and customs trade databases from 2000 to 2015,this paper found that firms with product ranges within policy-supported areas were more active in product switching.Among all the enterprises that adopted the product switching,those with nonmain products in policy-supported areas were more inclined to adjust their main product.They tended to transform nonmain product to main product as opposed to introducing new main product m order to effectively leverage their export experience and established technology.Whereas,for enterprises whose main product was within the policy-supported areas,their tendency to switch products significantly decreased Mechanism analysis suggested that policy support,by alleviating industry distress and mitigating excessive market competition,encouraged firms to switch products to areas with policy backing.Moreover we estimated trade performance after product switching from the perspective of product unit price and export product quality We found thatforfirms whose main product was in policy-supported areas,such switching was more likely to result in"low price,high quality"exports,whereas for firms with nonmain products in supported areas,such switching was more likely to lead to"high price,low quality"exports,which indicates that firms switching to policy-supported areas need to continuously develop their core competencies and operate effectively to improve their production performance.

    Import Policy Uncertainty and Innovation

    Lingshan ChenYunong LiQian XieMao Zhou...
    197-230页
    查看更多>>摘要:The Chinese government has emphasized innovation as the primary driving force for economic development in the new era.This paper studies the effect of import policy uncertainty(IPU)on the innovation activity of Chinese manufacturing firms.It establishes a simple model to show that the presence of IPU encourages innovation and that a reduction in IPU discourages innovation.It distinguishes the almost unnoticed IPU reduction from tariff reduction on China's WTO accession and develops a novel difference-in-differences specification that identifies the negative effect of IPU reduction on innovation using updated data for Chinese manufacturing and patent filings.The result holds after a battery of identification assumptions and robustness checks are considered.The import channel explains about two thirds of the effect of IPU on innovation,but not all of the effect.Finally,this paper examines the effect across firms of different levels of productivity and ownership types and patents of different categories.

    Sister-city Ties and Chinese Outward Foreign Direct Investment:A Spatial Econometric Analysis

    Youxing HuangMeixia DongYanping Zhao
    231-258页
    查看更多>>摘要:This paper employs dynamic spatial econometric methods to analyze the impact of the sister-city relationship on Chinese outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)using a linked country-level dataset from 2003 to 2016.The results show strong and robust evidence that the sister-city relationship has been a crucial OFDI location determinant in host countries and their neighbors.Specifically,the sister-city tie between China and the host country has stimulated Chinese OFDI in host countries.Moreover,Chinese OFDI in host countries would be reduced if China concluded sister-city ties with their neighbors to which we refer as the neighboring effect.Further mechanism tests show that sister cities have promoted OFDI in host countries via four channels:reducing political risk,decreasing information asymmetry,narrowing institutional distance,and mitigating cultural differences.This tendency for sister-city links to promote OFDI has varied substantially depending on OFDI entry modes(i.e.,greenfield or cross-border mergers and acquisitions),motivation(i.e.,resource-,market-,technology-,or efficiency-oriented OFDI),and Sino-foreign geographical relationships(i.e.,Belt and Road Initiative countries or other countries).

    Table of Contents Vol.31,No.1-6,2023

    259-262页

    Guidelines for Submissions to China & World Economy

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